Simulation 8Z13 Main

Long Suit or Punt IV

by Richard Pavlicek

[First read Part I, II and III]

Surprised by Part II and III, let’s beef up the long suit a notch to J-10-9-8-7. If leading the J still wins, I expect Rod Serling to step out of the background and explain that I’ve just entered the twilight zone.

Which card would you lead?

	Any vul		West	North	East	South
J 2						1 NT
J 10 9 8 7			Pass	3 NT	Pass	Pass
J 10 9			Pass
4 3 2
	3 NT

Leads compared: J, J, J. I’m almost afraid to spin the wheel, as the J is a no-brainer by all my accounts, yet strange things have been happening around here. Close your eyes!

For a simulation I created 10,000 random deals with the West hand fixed and the other hands constrained to fit the auction. South: 15-17 HCP; balanced (5-card major allowed if doubleton is J-x or better). North: 8-14 HCP; 10-14 revalued points; no 5+ major; no 7+ minor unless 7-2-2-2; no 4-card major unless 4-3-3-3. East: no 8+ card suit; no 7-card suit unless less than 6.5 playing tricks; else less than 7.5 playing tricks or freakness less than 6 (i.e., to bid without a 7-card suit East would need 7.5+ playing tricks and extreme shape).

Results are shown below. Trick Average shows the average number of tricks won by the defense. Set Percent shows how often the contract is defeated, and Hold Percent how often it is made without an overtrick. The second table compares each lead with every other lead, with the better choice leftmost. Net W-L (matchpoints or board-a-match verdict) counts +1 for a win and -1 for a loss. Net Score and Net IMPs are calculated twice, first with declarer nonvul (green) then with declarer vul (red). Plus values show the net gain over 10,000 deals.

Finally some sensibility, though not without contention. At matchpoints, board-a-match or IMPs, the long-suit lead ( J) is now the winner, though not by a wide margin, yet the J still sets the contract more often and wins at total points. I can live with that, as total-point scoring is in the history books. Another curiosity is that the J beats the J heavily at total points or IMPs but is trounced at Won-Lost. Thanks to some feedback, there is now a Part V.

Results for 10,000 Deals

Lead	Trick Average	Set Percent	Hold Percent
J	2.6037	8.51	12.76
J	2.7416	7.97	14.76
J	2.6037	4.95	15.32

Comparison	Net W-L	NV Net Score	NV Net IMPs	Vul Net Score	Vul Net IMPs
J vs. J	+1227	+15,410	+942	-6290	+801
J vs. J	+786	+169,050	+3776	+246,650	+4384
J vs. J	-526	+153,640	+2786	+252,940	+3529

Actual Deals

Below are 100 of the 10,000 deals, including the first 20, last 20, and 60 in-between with the greatest IMP gains (20 for each lead). Numbers after each lead show the tricks won by the defense with double-dummy play by both sides.

1.	K Q 5 Q 5 2 A 7 6 3 J 10 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		9 6 4 3 K 3 K Q 4 Q 8 7 5
J → 3 J → 3 J → 3	A 10 8 7 A 6 4 8 5 2 A K 9

2.	A 9 4 Q 5 K 8 3 2 K 10 9 8
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 7 6 5 3 6 4 7 5 A J 7 5
J → 2 J → 2 J → 2	Q 10 8 A K 3 2 A Q 6 4 Q 6

3.	K Q 8 6 4 3 A 8 7 6 2 Q 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 6 5 K 5 2 Q 5 J 9 8 6 5
J → 2 J → 2 J → 2	10 9 7 4 3 A Q K 4 3 A K 10

4.	9 8 5 A 4 3 K 7 2 K 9 8 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K 7 4 3 Q 6 8 5 3 Q 6 5
J → 2 J → 2 J → 2	Q 10 6 K 5 2 A Q 6 4 A J 10

5.	A Q 8 K Q 5 4 7 4 2 Q 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 9 7 6 5 4 — Q 6 3 K J 8 6
J → 3 J → 3 J → 3	10 3 A 6 3 2 A K 8 5 A 10 9

6.	10 4 K 4 3 A K 8 7 2 Q 8 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 9 8 7 3 6 5 2 Q 3 A J 10
J → 3 J → 2 J → 2	A Q 6 5 A Q 6 5 4 K 9 7 5

7.	A 8 6 Q 6 5 A Q 3 2 Q 10 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 9 7 4 3 2 K 5 4 9 8 6 5
J → 2 J → 2 J → 2	Q 10 5 4 3 A K 8 7 6 A K J

8.	A 10 9 4 Q 6 5 4 K Q 10 9 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		Q 8 6 5 3 A Q 3 2 K 3 2 8
J → 2 J → 4 J → 3	K 7 4 K 6 5 A 8 7 A J 7 6

9.	10 9 Q 4 2 7 5 4 A K 10 8 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K 8 7 3 6 3 K 8 6 2 J 6
J → 2 J → 2 J → 3	Q 6 5 4 A K 5 A Q 3 Q 9 5

10.	K 6 4 3 A 8 5 4 3 K Q 10 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 10 9 5 A 5 2 7 6 J 9 6 5
J → 2 J → 2 J → 2	Q 8 7 3 K Q 6 4 K Q 2 A 8

Simulation 8Z13 Main

Top Long Suit or Punt IV

11.	7 4 K Q K 8 7 6 4 3 Q 8 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A Q 10 8 3 6 5 5 2 K J 9 7
J → 2 J → 2 J → 2	K 9 6 5 A 4 3 2 A Q A 10 6

12.	10 4 3 A 4 3 2 Q 6 3 A 9 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		Q 9 8 5 Q 5 K 7 5 2 K J 10
J → 4 J → 4 J → 4	A K 7 6 K 6 A 8 4 Q 8 7 6

13.	A 3 K 3 Q 7 3 Q 10 9 7 6 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		Q 10 9 8 7 5 6 A 6 4 2 K J
J → 3 J → 2 J → 2	K 6 4 A Q 5 4 2 K 8 5 A 8

14.	10 7 6 Q 6 5 K 5 4 A J 10 9
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 9 8 4 3 A K Q 7 6 2 6 5
J → 4 J → 4 J → 4	A Q 5 4 3 2 A 8 3 K Q 8 7

15.	Q 9 8 A 7 5 3 2 A Q 9 8 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 10 7 6 3 Q 6 5 4 4 K 7 6
J → 2 J → 2 J → 2	K 5 4 K 3 2 A K Q 8 6 J 10

16.	10 6 3 Q 5 4 K 7 4 3 A K 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K 8 5 6 2 5 2 J 10 8 6 5
J → 2 J → 2 J → 2	Q 9 7 4 A K 3 A Q 8 6 Q 9

17.	K 7 5 4 A Q 3 7 6 2 Q 9 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A Q 9 3 4 2 8 4 K J 10 8 5
J → 2 J → 3 J → 3	10 8 6 K 6 5 A K Q 5 3 A 7

18.	10 9 8 5 A K 4 Q 7 6 Q J 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 7 6 4 5 K 4 3 K 10 9 8 7
J → 3 J → 3 J → 3	K Q 3 Q 6 3 2 A 8 5 2 A 5

19.	K 5 4 4 A Q 7 6 4 3 K 10 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		Q 10 9 7 K 6 5 2 8 Q J 9 5
J → 0 J → 0 J → 0	A 8 6 3 A Q 3 K 5 2 A 8 7

20.	A 9 8 A 5 2 Q 7 6 J 9 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K Q 5 Q 4 3 5 4 3 2 A 10 8
J → 4 J → 4 J → 4	10 7 6 4 3 K 6 A K 8 K Q 6

Simulation 8Z13 Main

Top Long Suit or Punt IV

81.	10 8 Q 6 4 7 6 K Q J 9 6 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		7 6 4 3 K 5 2 A K Q 5 3 10
J → 1 J → 1 J → 5	A K Q 9 5 A 3 8 4 2 A 8 7

296.	10 8 7 K 3 6 5 4 3 A K J 8
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 9 6 5 3 A Q 4 2 7 2 Q 7
J → 2 J → 5 J → 2	A Q 4 6 5 A K Q 8 10 9 6 5

349.	K 6 4 3 A 6 3 2 Q J 10 8 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A Q 10 9 8 7 A 6 5 5 4 9 6
J → 7 J → 2 J → 2	5 3 K Q 4 2 K Q 8 7 A K 7

354.	K 3 4 3 2 K Q 5 4 2 Q 10 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 10 9 6 5 4 A 6 5 8 7 A 7
J → 7 J → 6 J → 3	Q 8 7 K Q A 6 3 K J 9 8 5

355.	K 9 3 K 6 4 8 6 5 4 3 K 9
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		Q 8 6 Q 3 2 Q 2 A Q J 7 5
J → 2 J → 5 J → 3	A 10 7 5 4 A 5 A K 7 10 8 6

436.	Q 5 4 A Q 3 5 4 3 Q J 8 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K 10 7 6 3 5 4 A 8 7 10 6
J → 7 J → 3 J → 3	9 8 K 6 2 K Q 6 2 A K 9 7

614.	A K 8 K 5 8 6 5 4 2 K 10 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		9 7 6 4 3 A Q 6 3 K 7 8 6
J → 2 J → 5 J → 2	Q 10 5 4 2 A Q 3 A Q J 9 5

870.	K 4 K Q A 7 4 3 2 9 8 7 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A Q 10 8 7 5 A 6 5 2 6 10 5
J → 7 J → 3 J → 3	9 6 3 4 3 K Q 8 5 A K Q J

905.	7 4 A 6 3 K 7 6 K Q J 7 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K Q 10 5 3 5 2 8 3 9 8 5
J → 6 J → 0 J → 0	9 8 6 K Q 4 A Q 5 4 2 A 10

960.	10 8 4 Q 5 K 7 5 4 A J 10 9
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		Q 9 6 3 A K 3 2 8 3 Q 7 5
J → 2 J → 5 J → 3	A K 7 5 6 4 A Q 6 2 K 8 6

Simulation 8Z13 Main

Top Long Suit or Punt IV

1046.	10 6 A 5 Q 8 7 4 3 Q 10 8 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		9 8 7 4 3 Q 4 A K 5 A J 7
J → 4 J → 5 J → 6	A K Q 5 K 6 3 2 6 2 K 9 6

1048.	K 6 3 K 4 8 7 5 4 Q J 10 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A Q 10 8 5 4 6 2 A 3 K 7 6
J → 7 J → 3 J → 3	9 7 A Q 5 3 K Q 6 2 A 9 8

1106.	Q 8 5 Q 6 2 7 5 3 2 A Q 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K 10 7 6 4 5 A 8 4 J 9 5
J → 7 J → 3 J → 3	9 3 A K 4 3 K Q 6 K 10 8 7

1529.	K 10 6 6 4 3 2 A 5 2 A Q 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 8 7 4 5 K Q 8 4 3 10 7 5
J → 2 J → 2 J → 5	Q 9 5 3 A K Q 7 6 K J 9 8

1656.	9 8 6 K Q 5 3 K Q 10 9 6 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 5 4 6 4 3 A K Q 8 4 J 8
J → 0 J → 0 J → 5	A K Q 7 3 A 5 2 7 6 2 A 7

1935.	10 6 5 4 A Q 5 3 K 10 9 7 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A Q 8 5 4 3 6 K 7 4 A 8 5
J → 6 J → 4 J → 7	K 9 7 A K Q 3 2 8 6 2 Q J

1989.	9 7 5 K 2 K Q 8 6 5 3 A 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K Q 10 6 3 4 3 2 9 8 6 5
J → 6 J → 0 J → 0	8 4 A Q 6 5 A 7 4 K Q J 10

2055.	K 4 6 3 2 Q 6 3 K J 9 8 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 10 9 5 3 5 4 A K 8 5 2 5
J → 4 J → 3 J → 6	Q 8 7 6 A K Q 7 4 A Q 10 7

2091.	A 9 3 Q 3 2 7 A J 9 8 6 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 6 4 6 5 K Q 8 6 5 2 K 10
J → 3 J → 3 J → 6	Q 10 8 7 5 A K 4 A 4 3 Q 7

2235.	Q 4 3 K Q 7 6 4 3 K 8 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K 10 9 6 5 6 5 4 2 A 10 6
J → 7 J → 3 J → 3	8 7 A Q 3 K 8 5 2 A Q J 9

Simulation 8Z13 Main

Top Long Suit or Punt IV

2465.	Q 9 6 A 2 7 5 3 K 10 8 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 10 7 K 6 4 3 Q 8 6 4 A 6
J → 2 J → 5 J → 4	A 8 5 4 3 Q 5 A K 2 Q J 9

2940.	A 9 8 Q 2 K 6 4 Q J 9 8 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 10 7 5 K 6 5 3 A 7 5 10 6
J → 2 J → 5 J → 2	Q 6 4 3 A 4 Q 8 3 2 A K 7

2986.	8 4 5 4 2 A Q 5 3 A Q 9 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 9 5 3 A K 3 7 6 4 10 8 7
J → 1 J → 5 J → 3	A Q 10 7 6 Q 6 K 8 2 K J 6

3134.	8 6 5 2 A Q 8 7 5 K 10 8 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		Q 10 7 K Q 6 5 4 K 3 J 7 5
J → 2 J → 5 J → 2	A K 9 4 3 A 3 6 4 2 A Q 9

3252.	6 5 4 Q 3 A Q J 10 9 7 6 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 10 3 A 5 4 K 5 4 3 2 Q 8
J → 3 J → 5 J → 8	K Q 9 8 7 K 6 2 8 7 6 A K

3397.	K 9 Q 4 3 A Q 7 5 2 10 8 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A Q 10 8 4 3 6 2 8 4 3 A J
J → 7 J → 2 J → 2	7 6 5 A K 5 K 6 K Q 9 7 5

3571.	A Q 8 4 A 6 2 Q 5 4 J 8 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 9 6 3 3 A K 8 7 3 9 6 5
J → 2 J → 3 J → 5	K 7 5 K Q 5 4 6 2 A K Q 10

3658.	6 5 6 5 3 Q 7 4 A Q J 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K Q 8 7 4 3 A A 6 3 10 9 6
J → 7 J → 5 J → 4	A 10 9 K Q 4 2 K 8 5 2 K 8

3921.	A 9 6 K 4 K 8 7 5 4 Q 8 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 8 7 5 4 A Q 6 2 Q 6 J 5
J → 2 J → 5 J → 2	K Q 3 5 3 A 3 2 A K 10 9 7

4292.	10 9 3 A 6 Q 7 5 3 Q J 9 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A Q 5 4 K 5 3 2 A 4 2 10 5
J → 4 J → 7 J → 5	K 8 7 6 Q 4 K 8 6 A K 8 6

Simulation 8Z13 Main

Top Long Suit or Punt IV

4294.	10 9 4 K 3 2 3 2 A Q J 9 8
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 6 3 Q 4 K Q 8 6 5 7 6 5
J → 1 J → 1 J → 5	K Q 8 7 5 A 6 5 A 7 4 K 10

4733.	8 4 A 3 K 8 7 5 4 3 A 10 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K Q 9 7 6 6 2 6 2 J 9 6
J → 6 J → 0 J → 0	10 5 3 K Q 5 4 A Q K Q 8 5

5084.	K 9 5 4 2 A K 6 4 3 10 9 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A Q 10 7 4 3 A 6 5 5 J 8 7
J → 7 J → 2 J → 2	8 6 K Q 3 Q 8 7 2 A K Q 6

5142.	K 9 6 4 3 A 7 4 2 K 10 8 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A Q 10 8 7 5 A Q 2 6 5 9 6
J → 7 J → 4 J → 4	6 4 3 K 5 K Q 8 3 A Q J 5

5188.	K Q 8 3 K 5 4 K 5 4 Q 10 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 6 5 4 3 A Q 8 7 3 J 9 8
J → 2 J → 2 J → 5	A 9 7 A Q 6 2 6 2 A K 7 5

5335.	K 8 5 Q 4 3 4 2 K Q 9 7 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 9 7 4 3 5 A Q 8 7 5 A 8
J → 2 J → 2 J → 5	A Q 6 A K 6 2 K 6 3 J 10 5

5482.	A K 9 Q 6 A 7 6 5 2 10 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 8 7 6 5 K 5 4 2 Q A 8 6
J → 2 J → 5 J → 2	Q 4 3 A 3 K 8 4 3 K Q J 9

5886.	Q 6 3 K 2 Q 3 2 Q 10 9 6 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K 10 9 8 7 A 6 5 5 4 J 7
J → 7 J → 3 J → 3	5 4 Q 4 3 A K 8 7 6 A K 8

6044.	K 3 5 2 K 8 7 5 Q 10 9 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 9 7 6 4 A K 3 A Q 4 2 8
J → 4 J → 4 J → 6	A Q 8 5 Q 6 4 6 3 A K J 6

6213.	10 8 7 5 4 3 K 7 A K 7 6 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 9 6 5 2 A Q 6 5 4 3 10 9
J → 2 J → 2 J → 7	K Q 4 3 A K Q 6 8 2 Q J 8

Simulation 8Z13 Main

Top Long Suit or Punt IV

6332.	Q 6 3 4 3 A 7 3 Q J 10 9 8
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 8 7 6 5 2 K Q 8 4 A 6 5
J → 1 J → 3 J → 5	A 10 9 5 4 A K Q 6 5 2 K 7

6364.	9 7 6 K Q Q 7 3 2 K J 10 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 5 4 3 A 6 5 2 8 5 A 9 8
J → 2 J → 5 J → 3	A Q 10 8 4 3 A K 6 4 Q 7 5

6529.	K 4 6 5 Q 8 7 6 4 2 K J 10
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		9 8 7 6 A K 3 2 3 A 7 6 5
J → 2 J → 6 J → 2	A Q 10 5 3 Q 4 A K 5 Q 9 8

6646.	K 10 3 K 2 6 4 3 2 K 10 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 9 7 6 4 A Q 5 3 Q 8 7 8
J → 3 J → 6 J → 4	Q 8 5 6 4 A K 5 A Q J 9 6

6679.	10 8 6 6 5 3 A 2 A Q J 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		7 5 4 3 K Q 4 Q 7 5 3 K 8
J → 2 J → 5 J → 2	A K Q 9 A 2 K 8 6 4 10 9 6

6953.	10 9 7 K 2 K 5 4 K J 9 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		8 6 3 A 6 5 4 A Q 3 2 10 8
J → 2 J → 2 J → 5	A K Q 5 4 Q 3 8 7 6 A Q 6

7135.	K Q 3 K Q 3 2 8 6 4 10 8 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 10 8 6 5 4 6 A 5 2 A 9 5
J → 7 J → 3 J → 3	9 7 A 5 4 K Q 7 3 K Q J 7

7384.	Q 10 7 6 K Q 7 Q J 10 9 8 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 8 6 5 A 5 2 A 6 5 4 2 5
J → 3 J → 3 J → 6	K 9 4 3 K Q 4 3 8 3 A K 7

7539.	10 9 3 3 2 A K Q 8 5 7 6 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		Q 7 5 4 A 6 5 4 2 A J 10 9
J → 2 J → 5 J → 3	A K 8 6 K Q 7 6 4 3 K Q 8

7568.	10 8 7 6 3 A K 8 7 3 Q 10 8
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		Q 9 6 5 4 A K Q 2 4 J 9 6
J → 2 J → 5 J → 2	A K 3 5 4 Q 6 5 2 A K 7 5

Simulation 8Z13 Main

Top Long Suit or Punt IV

7610.	K 4 Q 6 K 5 4 3 2 J 7 6 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A Q 10 8 6 5 A 5 Q 6 10 9 8
J → 7 J → 5 J → 4	9 7 3 K 4 3 2 A 8 7 A K Q

7764.	8 6 4 K 4 A Q 8 6 4 3 J 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 10 9 5 3 A Q 5 2 Q 10 7 6
J → 1 J → 5 J → 1	A Q 7 6 3 2 K 7 5 A K 9 8

7885.	K 5 4 3 K 4 2 8 7 5 K Q 8
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 9 6 5 3 K Q 6 3 2 10 7 5
J → 2 J → 2 J → 5	Q 10 8 7 A Q 6 A 4 A J 9 6

8089.	Q 9 6 A 3 7 5 2 Q J 10 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K 10 5 4 3 6 5 A 6 4 3 9
J → 7 J → 3 J → 3	8 7 K Q 4 2 K Q 8 A K 8 6

8168.	7 5 4 K 6 A Q 7 5 4 K J 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 8 6 3 A Q 5 8 3 2 Q 10 5
J → 1 J → 5 J → 1	A K Q 9 4 3 2 K 6 A 9 8 6

8227.	Q 3 A 2 8 6 5 4 3 A Q 7 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 10 5 4 K 5 4 3 7 2 K J 9
J → 2 J → 5 J → 3	A 9 8 7 6 Q 6 A K Q 10 8 5

8407.	Q 8 3 A 4 K 8 7 5 4 9 6 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K 10 6 5 4 3 2 A 6 Q 8 7
J → 7 J → 3 J → 3	9 7 K Q 6 5 Q 3 2 A K J 10

9255.	8 6 4 K 5 3 8 4 2 A K 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		9 7 5 A 4 A K 7 6 3 10 9 8
J → 4 J → 4 J → 6	A K Q 10 3 Q 6 2 Q 5 Q J 6

9899.	Q 5 4 A 5 3 4 3 A Q 9 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K 9 8 7 6 6 4 6 5 2 J 10
J → 6 J → 0 J → 0	10 3 K Q 2 A K Q 8 7 K 8 6

9917.	7 5 4 6 3 K 5 3 A K 10 8 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 9 3 A 5 4 2 A Q 6 4 Q 9
J → 2 J → 2 J → 5	A K Q 8 6 K Q 8 7 2 J 6 5

Simulation 8Z13 Main

Top Long Suit or Punt IV

9981.	K 9 5 3 2 K 8 5 3 A Q 8 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		Q 10 8 7 6 3 K 6 5 A 4 2 6
J → 2 J → 2 J → 2	A 4 A Q 4 Q 7 6 K J 10 9 5

9982.	A 6 3 Q 6 5 K 7 4 2 A J 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 7 5 4 2 8 6 5 3 K Q 9 8
J → 2 J → 2 J → 2	Q 10 9 8 4 A K 3 A Q 10 7 5

9983.	A 10 7 Q K Q 6 4 3 Q J 9 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		9 6 5 4 K 5 2 7 5 2 A 8 5
J → 1 J → 3 J → 1	K Q 8 3 A 6 4 3 A 8 K 10 7

9984.	A 9 6 5 Q 5 4 K 4 3 J 10 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 10 8 7 K 2 A 7 2 Q 9 8 6
J → 4 J → 4 J → 4	Q 4 3 A 6 3 Q 8 6 5 A K 5

9985.	5 4 A 4 K 8 6 5 3 2 Q 9 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 10 6 3 Q 6 3 2 7 A K 7 6
J → 3 J → 2 J → 2	A Q 9 8 7 K 5 A Q 4 J 10 8

9986.	Q 8 5 4 K Q 2 Q 8 3 K 9 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K 10 7 3 5 4 7 4 2 A Q J 10
J → 3 J → 3 J → 3	A 9 6 A 6 3 A K 6 5 8 7 6

9987.	K 8 3 A 4 2 K Q 6 4 J 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		9 7 6 5 K 6 5 A 8 3 10 9 6
J → 2 J → 2 J → 2	A Q 10 4 Q 3 7 5 2 A K Q 8

9988.	10 8 4 K 5 2 A Q 7 K 9 8 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		Q 9 7 5 6 3 6 5 3 2 A Q J
J → 4 J → 4 J → 4	A K 6 3 A Q 4 K 8 4 10 6 5

9989.	A K Q 6 6 5 3 K 7 2 8 7 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 8 7 4 3 4 2 A Q 6 A 10 9
J → 4 J → 3 J → 4	9 5 A K Q 8 5 4 3 K Q J 6

9990.	A 9 8 4 3 K 8 7 3 2 Q 9 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 6 5 4 K 5 2 A 5 K J 6 5
J → 2 J → 2 J → 2	K Q 7 3 A Q 6 Q 6 4 A 10 8

Simulation 8Z13 Main

Top Long Suit or Punt IV

9991.	Q 6 5 A Q 4 8 5 A J 10 9 8
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 8 4 3 5 3 2 Q 7 3 2 K Q
J → 1 J → 1 J → 1	A K 9 7 K 6 A K 6 4 7 6 5

9992.	9 8 6 A 6 4 K Q 4 2 J 6 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K Q 10 7 4 Q 2 7 5 3 K Q 7
J → 5 J → 3 J → 3	A 5 3 K 5 3 A 8 6 A 10 9 8

9993.	7 A Q 3 Q 7 6 5 4 J 10 8 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		K Q 10 6 3 5 4 K 8 2 K Q 7
J → 4 J → 5 J → 4	A 9 8 5 4 K 6 2 A 3 A 9 5

9994.	9 7 3 K Q 5 4 A Q 4 K 9 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		Q 8 6 5 3 6 5 3 2 A 10 8 7
J → 2 J → 2 J → 2	A K 10 4 A 6 2 K 8 7 Q J 6

9995.	Q 8 3 A 5 3 A 7 5 3 2 Q 8
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A 9 7 6 4 2 K 8 6 K 10 9 6
J → 3 J → 3 J → 2	K 10 5 4 K Q 6 Q 4 A J 7 5

9996.	10 7 3 K 3 K 8 3 A J 7 6 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		Q 9 6 5 Q 4 A 6 5 2 K 10 9
J → 3 J → 3 J → 3	A K 8 4 A 6 5 2 Q 7 4 Q 8

9997.	A Q 6 5 2 K 6 4 3 K J 8 6
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 9 8 5 3 A Q 4 Q 8 2 9 7
J → 2 J → 3 J → 2	K 7 6 4 K 3 A 7 5 A Q 10 5

9998.	A K 6 5 3 A Q 7 5 3 8 6 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 9 6 5 4 3 K 4 K 8 K 10 7
J → 1 J → 1 J → 1	Q 8 7 A Q 2 6 4 2 A Q J 9

9999.	K 8 K 6 3 K 8 7 6 Q J 10 7
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		10 9 7 6 4 Q 2 A 5 4 A 9 8
J → 3 J → 3 J → 3	A Q 5 3 A 5 4 Q 3 2 K 6 5

10000.	10 7 Q 3 A Q 7 5 3 2 J 9 5
J 2 J 10 9 8 7 J 10 9 4 3 2		A K 5 4 3 A 6 5 8 6 10 8 7
J → 3 J → 3 J → 3	Q 9 8 6 K 4 2 K 4 A K Q 6

Simulation 8Z13 Main

Top Long Suit or Punt IV

© 2017 Richard Pavlicek