Simulation 8Z11 Main | 
Long Suit or Punt II
|
 by Richard Pavlicek |
[First read Part I]
Having shown in Part I that it is better to punt (lead a short suit trying to hit partner) with everything else more or less equal, what if that’s not the case. What if the long suit is a safe lead, and the short suit is not? Does this change things? Let’s find out.
Which card would you lead?
 | Any vul | | West | North | East | South
|
 10 2 |  | | | | | 1 NT
|
 10 9 8 7 6 | | Pass | 3 NT | Pass | Pass
|
 10 9 8 | | Pass
|
 4 3 2 |
|
| 3 NT |
Leads compared: 10, 10, 10. The only difference is having 10-2 instead of 10-9, which means a spade lead could lose a trick outright. Which choice do you bet on now?
For a simulation I created 10,000 random deals with the West hand fixed and the other hands constrained to fit the auction. South: 15-17 HCP; balanced (5-card major allowed if doubleton is J-x or better). North: 8-14 HCP; 10-14 revalued points; no 5+ major; no 7+ minor unless 7-2-2-2; no 4-card major unless 4-3-3-3. East: no 8+ card suit; no 7-card suit unless less than 6.5 playing tricks; else less than 7.5 playing tricks or freakness less than 6 (i.e., to bid without a 7-card suit East would need 7.5+ playing tricks and extreme shape).
Results are shown below. Trick Average shows the average number of tricks won by the defense. Set Percent shows how often the contract is defeated, and Hold Percent how often it is made without an overtrick. The second table compares each lead with every other lead, with the better choice leftmost. Net W-L (matchpoints or board-a-match verdict) counts +1 for a win and -1 for a loss. Net Score and Net IMPs are calculated twice, first with declarer nonvul (green) then with declarer vul (red). Plus values show the net gain over 10,000 deals.
This was a surprise. While I would always have chosen 10-9 over a heart, I would have rejected the unsafe 10-2; yet results show it is still the better lead. The margin has narrowed somewhat, but it’s still a clear winner, so I learned something: Punt those major doubletons! Does this superiority extend to situations that are extremely unsafe? I wonder… on to Part III.
Results for 10,000 Deals
| Lead | Trick Average | Set Percent | Hold Percent
|
|---|
| 10 | 2.6907 | 9.70 | 12.68
|
| 10 | 2.6456 | 7.14 | 11.36
|
| 10 | 2.5509 | 4.70 | 13.95 |
| Comparison | Net W-L | NV Net Score | NV Net IMPs | Vul Net Score | Vul Net IMPs
|
|---|
| 10 vs. 10 | +106 | +125,710 | +2555 | +201,360 | +3131
|
| 10 vs. 10 | +533 | +258,780 | +5420 | +400,880 | +6521
|
| 10 vs. 10 | +426 | +133,070 | +2873 | +199,520 | +3391 |
Actual Deals
Below are 100 of the 10,000 deals, including the first 20, last 20, and 60 in-between with the greatest IMP gains (20 for each lead). Numbers after each lead show the tricks won by the defense with double-dummy play by both sides.
1.  | K 9 3
5 2
A Q J 6
J 8 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 |  | A J 7 5 4
A Q 3
K 4 3
10 5
|
10 → 4
10 → 3
10 → 3 | Q 8 6
K J 4
7 5 2
A K Q 9 |
| 2. | 8 5 4
2
A K Q 2
K 9 7 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q J 6 3
A K 4 3
5 4 3
J 8
|
10 → 1
10 → 2
10 → 1 | A K 9 7
Q J 5
J 7 6
A Q 10 |
| 3. | A 7 3
4
K 6 5 4 3
A 10 9 8
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q J 9 6 5
K J 3 2
Q
K J 7
|
10 → 1
10 → 1
10 → 1 | K 8 4
A Q 5
A J 7 2
Q 6 5 |
| 4. | A Q 9 5
Q 5 2
J 7 6
Q 10 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K 8 4 3
K 3
3 2
A K 8 7 5
|
10 → 3
10 → 3
10 → 3 | J 7 6
A J 4
A K Q 5 4
J 9 |
| 5. | 9 5
A J 4
A 4 3 2
Q 9 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K J 6 3
Q 3 2
K Q 7
J 10 8
|
10 → 1
10 → 2
10 → 2 | A Q 8 7 4
K 5
J 6 5
A K 6 |
| 6. | A 6 3
Q 4 3
A 7 5 2
8 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K 9 7 5
A J 2
Q 6
K Q 10 5
|
10 → 3
10 → 3
10 → 3 | Q J 8 4
K 5
K J 4 3
A J 9 |
| 7. | A 6 4
J 4
7 6 4
K Q J 8 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K Q 8 5
A 5 3
5 3 2
A 10 5
|
10 → 3
10 → 3
10 → 3 | J 9 7 3
K Q 2
A K Q J
9 7 |
| 8. | K Q 6
5 4 3
J 2
A J 10 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A J 7 4
A Q
7 5 4 3
Q 8 6
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 3 | 9 8 5 3
K J 2
A K Q 6
K 9 |
| 9. | 9 8 5
K J 4
Q 7 6 4
A K 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K Q J 7 4
A 2
3 2
J 10 8 7
|
10 → 5
10 → 3
10 → 3 | A 6 3
Q 5 3
A K J 5
Q 9 5 |
| 10. | 9 7 3
Q J 4 2
A 5 3
K 9 8
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q J 5
A 3
Q J 7 4
A J 7 5
|
10 → 5
10 → 4
10 → 5 | A K 8 6 4
K 5
K 6 2
Q 10 6 |
| Simulation 8Z11 Main |  | Top Long Suit or Punt II |
| 11. | 7 4
Q 4
J 7 6 5
A K Q 8 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K Q 6 3
K J 5 2
K 3 2
J 9
|
10 → 1
10 → 4
10 → 1 | A J 9 8 5
A 3
A Q 4
10 6 5 |
| 12. | 8 6 4
A K 2
K 6 5 4
K 8 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K Q 9 5 3
Q J
Q 7 3
10 6 5
|
10 → 1
10 → 1
10 → 1 | A J 7
5 4 3
A J 2
A Q J 9 |
| 13. | 7 4
K 2
K 4 3 2
A J 9 8 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A J 8 5 3
J 5 4 3
Q J
K 5
|
10 → 3
10 → 5
10 → 3 | K Q 9 6
A Q
A 7 6 5
Q 10 6 |
| 14. | K 9 3
Q J 4 2
J 7 2
K J 9
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 8 7
5 3
A Q 5 4
A Q 10 6
|
10 → 3
10 → 3
10 → 3 | A J 6 5 4
A K
K 6 3
8 7 5 |
| 15. | K 9 8
J 5 3
A 6 3
K 10 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q J 7 4 3
K Q
5 4 2
A Q 8
|
10 → 5
10 → 4
10 → 4 | A 6 5
A 4 2
K Q J 7
J 9 5 |
| 16. | K 7
K J 4
6 2
A 10 9 7 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | J 6 5 3
A 5
A J 5 4 3
Q J
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 2 | A Q 9 8 4
Q 3 2
K Q 7
K 8 |
| 17. | K 7 6
Q J
Q 5 3 2
K J 10 9
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A Q 5 4 3
4
A 7 4
Q 8 7 5
|
10 → 5
10 → 3
10 → 3 | J 9 8
A K 5 3 2
K J 6
A 6 |
| 18. | Q 4
J 5 3
K J 6
K Q 10 9 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K 8 7 6
A 2
Q 4 3 2
8 7
|
10 → 3
10 → 3
10 → 3 | J 9 5 3
K Q 4
A 7 5
A J 6 |
| 19. | 7
A Q 3
A 7 3 2
Q 9 7 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 8 6 5 4 3
J 4
J 5
A K 10
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 2 | A K J 9
K 5 2
K Q 6 4
J 8 |
| 20. | 9 7 6
Q 5 2
K 4 3 2
A J 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A Q 4 3
K J
Q J 6 5
10 9 5
|
10 → 2
10 → 3
10 → 3 | K J 8 5
A 4 3
A 7
K Q 8 6 |
| Simulation 8Z11 Main | | Top Long Suit or Punt II |
| 41. | Q 4
J 3 2
3 2
A K J 10 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K J 8 5 3
K 4
Q 7 5
9 5
|
10 → 6
10 → 0
10 → 0 | 9 7 6
A Q 5
A K J 6 4
Q 8 |
| 124. | 8 4
J 5 3
A Q
Q J 10 9 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 7 5 3
A 4 2
K J 7 5 2
A
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 6 | A K J 9 6
K Q
6 4 3
K 8 6 |
| 140. | J 7 6
K Q J 5
K 6 4
A 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 9 8 3
3
A Q J 7 2
J 10 8
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 5 | A K 5 4
A 4 2
5 3
K Q 9 7 |
| 433. | Q 6 4
K Q J
7 5 3 2
K Q 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K J 9 8 3
5 2
A 4
10 8 5
|
10 → 7
10 → 3
10 → 3 | 7 5
A 4 3
K Q J 6
A J 9 7 |
| 448. | Q 5
K Q 5
Q J 7 5 2
J 10 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K J 9 8 7 4
A 4 3
A
9 8 5
|
10 → 7
10 → 2
10 → 2 | A 6 3
J 2
K 6 4 3
A K Q 6 |
| 600. | 9 8 3
3
Q 6 5 3
A Q J 9 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K 6 4
K Q J 2
7 4
K 8 5
|
10 → 6
10 → 7
10 → 4 | Q J 7 5
A 5 4
A K J 2
10 6 |
| 609. | K 5 3
Q 5
A 6 4 2
K J 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 9 6
A K 4 3
K 7 3
9 8 5
|
10 → 2
10 → 5
10 → 3 | A J 8 7 4
J 2
Q J 5
A Q 10 |
| 779. | K 6 3
2
A 7 4 2
K Q 10 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A Q J 9 7 4
J 5 4 3
Q
J 9
|
10 → 6
10 → 0
10 → 0 | 8 5
A K Q
K J 6 5 3
A 8 5 |
| 831. | 9 4
A Q
6 5 4 3 2
Q 10 9 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K 7 5 3
K J 5 4
7
K J 5
|
10 → 3
10 → 7
10 → 3 | Q J 8 6
3 2
A K Q J
A 8 6 |
| 1097. | 8 5
J 5 4
A K Q J 7 6
8 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K Q 9 7 4
K 3
5 4
Q 9 5
|
10 → 6
10 → 0
10 → 0 | J 6 3
A Q 2
3 2
A K J 10 7 |
| Simulation 8Z11 Main | | Top Long Suit or Punt II |
| 1679. | A J 6 4
Q J 2
6 5 4
A 10 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 8 7 3
A
A Q J 7 3
8 7 6
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 5 | K 9 5
K 5 4 3
K 2
K Q J 9 |
| 1759. | 8 7 4
A K 4
K 6
Q J 9 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K Q J 9 6
Q 3
5 4 3
10 5
|
10 → 6
10 → 0
10 → 0 | 5 3
J 5 2
A Q J 7 2
A K 8 |
| 1802. | K J
J 4
J 7 5 2
K Q 9 8 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A Q 9 8 3
A 2
A 6 4 3
7 6
|
10 → 7
10 → 4
10 → 4 | 7 6 5 4
K Q 5 3
K Q
A J 10 |
| 1930. | 9 3
K J
K 6 5 4 3
Q J 9 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K Q 7 5 4
A Q 4
7 2
A 8 5
|
10 → 3
10 → 7
10 → 3 | A J 8 6
5 3 2
A Q J
K 10 6 |
| 1941. | Q 5 4
K 5 4
K 2
K Q 10 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | 9 8 6 3
Q
A Q J 4 3
J 9 8
|
10 → 1
10 → 1
10 → 5 | A K J 7
A J 3 2
7 6 5
A 5 |
| 2244. | 6 4 3
A 4
A K J 7
9 8 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K J 8
K 5 3 2
5 4 2
K Q 10
|
10 → 2
10 → 5
10 → 2 | A Q 9 7 5
Q J
Q 6 3
A J 7 |
| 2322. | A J 8
J 5 2
Q 2
K Q 10 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | 9 5 4
A 3
A K 6 5 4 3
J 8
|
10 → 3
10 → 4
10 → 7 | K Q 7 6 3
K Q 4
J 7
A 9 6 |
| 2372. | 7 6
Q 4
A 6 2
K Q 10 9 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K Q 9 5 3
J 3
J 5 3
J 5
|
10 → 6
10 → 0
10 → 0 | J 8 4
A K 5 2
K Q 7 4
A 8 |
| 2660. | 8 4
Q 4
A Q J 5 4
Q 10 9 8
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A J 9 6 3
K J 5 3
K 7
J 6
|
10 → 2
10 → 5
10 → 2 | K Q 7 5
A 2
6 3 2
A K 7 5 |
| 2847. | Q 8 6
A 2
K Q 6 5 2
Q 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K J 9 5 4
5 4 3
7 4
A 9
|
10 → 7
10 → 3
10 → 3 | 7 3
K Q J
A J 3
K J 10 8 6 |
| Simulation 8Z11 Main | | Top Long Suit or Punt II |
| 2931. | 9 7 6 5
Q 3 2
K 5 3
K Q 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K
J 4
A Q 7 6 2
J 10 9 7
|
10 → 4
10 → 4
10 → 6 | Q J 8 4 3
A K 5
J 4
A 8 6 |
| 3084. | K 8
J 5
A K 7 4
J 10 9 8 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A Q J 6 5 3
Q 4 2
6
A 6 5
|
10 → 7
10 → 2
10 → 2 | 9 7 4
A K 3
Q J 5 3 2
K Q |
| 3103. | Q 5
5 4
K J 5 3 2
K J 9 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | 9 8 7 4
A K Q 2
Q 6
Q 8 6
|
10 → 0
10 → 5
10 → 0 | A K J 6 3
J 3
A 7 4
A 10 7 |
| 3290. | Q 8 5
4 2
J 2
A K J 9 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | J 9 7 6
Q 5
A K Q 6 3
10 8
|
10 → 0
10 → 0
10 → 5 | A K 4 3
A K J 3
7 5 4
Q 6 |
| 3346. | Q 7 5
J 5 2
Q 6 4
A J 8 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K J 9 8 3
4
A J 2
10 9 7
|
10 → 7
10 → 4
10 → 4 | 6 4
A K Q 3
K 7 5 3
K Q 6 |
| 3383. | Q J 7
K 5 2
J 6 2
A K 9 8
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | 9 8 6 4
J 3
A K Q 7 3
7 5
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 5 | A K 5 3
A Q 4
5 4
Q J 10 6 |
| 4029. | K 7 5
A K 4
J 6 3
Q J 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A Q J 8 6 3
5 3
A 7 4
10 5
|
10 → 7
10 → 3
10 → 3 | 9 4
Q J 2
K Q 5 2
A K 9 8 |
| 4658. | K 8 6
Q 4
6 5 4
A K 9 8 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A 9 7 4
J 3 2
A K 7 3 2
J
|
10 → 4
10 → 4
10 → 6 | Q J 5 3
A K 5
Q J
Q 10 6 5 |
| 4692. | K 7
A J 3
J 6 4 3 2
Q 10 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A Q J 9 6 4
5 4 2
A K
8 6
|
10 → 8
10 → 4
10 → 4 | 8 5 3
K Q
Q 7 5
A K J 9 5 |
| 4862. | 9 6 4
Q 5 3
K 7
A K J 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A 8 7
J 4 2
A Q J 6 4
10 8
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 6 | K Q J 5 3
A K
5 3 2
Q 9 6 |
| Simulation 8Z11 Main | | Top Long Suit or Punt II |
| 4948. | 6 4 3
K Q 5
K 4
J 10 9 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K Q 9 8
A 3
A Q J 6 2
8 5
|
10 → 4
10 → 4
10 → 7 | A J 7 5
J 4 2
7 5 3
A K Q |
| 5132. | A J 4
A 2
Q 6 4 3
9 8 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K 7 6 3
K J 4 3
5 2
A K 5
|
10 → 4
10 → 7
10 → 4 | Q 9 8 5
Q 5
A K J 7
Q J 10 |
| 5620. | J 5
A Q 3
7 5 3
A Q 9 8 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | 9 7 6 3
J 5
A K Q 6 4
J 5
|
10 → 0
10 → 0
10 → 5 | A K Q 8 4
K 4 2
J 2
K 10 7 |
| 5672. | 9 7 4
A Q
Q J 7 2
10 8 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K Q 3
K 5 4 2
A 6 3
K J 9
|
10 → 2
10 → 6
10 → 2 | A J 8 6 5
J 3
K 5 4
A Q 6 |
| 6212. | 9 7 6
A K Q 4
J 7 3
Q 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A 8 5 3
3
K Q 5 4 2
K 10 9
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 5 | K Q J 4
J 5 2
A 6
A J 8 5 |
| 6490. | K 7 6 3
5 4 3
A J 6
A 10 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A 9 4
K 2
K Q 7 3 2
J 8 7
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 5 | Q J 8 5
A Q J
5 4
K Q 9 6 |
| 6543. | K 8 6
A Q
J 6 4 3
Q J 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A Q J 7 5 3
J 5 3
7 5
A 7
|
10 → 7
10 → 3
10 → 3 | 9 4
K 4 2
A K Q 2
K 10 9 8 |
| 6716. | K J 8
5 4
K 5 4
K 10 7 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A 9 5 4
Q J
A Q J 3 2
J 9
|
10 → 3
10 → 3
10 → 6 | Q 7 6 3
A K 3 2
7 6
A Q 8 |
| 6768. | A 8 6
J 5 4
5
Q J 10 8 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | 9 7 4 3
K Q 3
K Q J 7 6
A
|
10 → 2
10 → 3
10 → 5 | K Q J 5
A 2
A 4 3 2
K 9 7 |
| 6795. | 9 6 4
A 2
7 6 5 4
K Q J 9
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q J 7 5 3
K Q 5 4
Q
A 6 5
|
10 → 2
10 → 5
10 → 1 | A K 8
J 3
A K J 3 2
10 8 7 |
| Simulation 8Z11 Main | | Top Long Suit or Punt II |
| 7035. | 7 5
5 3
K J 7 6 2
K Q 9 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K J 9 6 3
A K J 4
Q 4
J 7
|
10 → 1
10 → 5
10 → 1 | A Q 8 4
Q 2
A 5 3
A 10 8 6 |
| 7081. | A J 4
4 3
K 3
K J 9 8 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 9 5 3
A K J 5
Q J 7 5
7
|
10 → 2
10 → 5
10 → 2 | K 8 7 6
Q 2
A 6 4 2
A Q 10 |
| 7088. | A 7
5 4 3
J 7
K Q J 7 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 9 8 5 4
Q
A Q 6 4 2
A 9
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 5 | K J 6 3
A K J 2
K 5 3
10 8 |
| 7139. | K 6
K 4 2
Q 6 3
Q 10 8 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A Q J 8 7 4
Q 5 3
7 4
A 9
|
10 → 7
10 → 2
10 → 2 | 9 5 3
A J
A K J 5 2
K J 5 |
| 7183. | A 8 4 3
Q J 4
5 4 2
A Q J
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 7 6
5
A K J 7 6
10 7 6 5
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 5 | K J 9 5
A K 3 2
Q 3
K 9 8 |
| 7319. | K 8 4
A 2
J 3 2
K 9 8 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q J 7 6 5
K Q J 3
6 5 4
A
|
10 → 2
10 → 5
10 → 2 | A 9 3
5 4
A K Q 7
Q J 10 5 |
| 7379. | A 5
A 4 2
Q 6
K 10 9 7 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 9 8 6 4
J 3
A K J 4 3
8
|
10 → 0
10 → 0
10 → 5 | K J 7 3
K Q 5
7 5 2
A Q J |
| 7633. | 8 4
K 2
A K J 7 4
J 9 8 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K Q 9 6 3
4 3
3 2
A 10 7
|
10 → 7
10 → 4
10 → 4 | J 7 5
A Q J 5
Q 6 5
K Q 5 |
| 7777. | Q 7 6
A 4
Q 6
K 10 9 8 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A 9 8 4 3
K J 5 3
A 5 2
J
|
10 → 2
10 → 6
10 → 2 | K J 5
Q 2
K J 7 4 3
A Q 5 |
| 7941. | J 8 7
K
A J 7 6 4 2
J 10 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | 9 6 5 4
A Q 3
3
A K Q 9 8
|
10 → 3
10 → 7
10 → 3 | A K Q 3
J 5 4 2
K Q 5
6 5 |
| Simulation 8Z11 Main | | Top Long Suit or Punt II |
| 8018. | 7 6 3
K 4
K 7 6 5 4
K 9 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q J 8
A Q 5 3
J 2
A Q 7 6
|
10 → 4
10 → 7
10 → 4 | A K 9 5 4
J 2
A Q 3
J 10 8 |
| 8106. | Q 8 6
J 3 2
7 5 3
A Q J 10
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K J 9 4
4
A K 6 2
8 7 5
|
10 → 7
10 → 4
10 → 4 | 7 5 3
A K Q 5
Q J 4
K 9 6 |
| 8127. | Q 8 7
K J
J 7 3
A Q J 8 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A 6 5 4
A Q 5 2
6 5 4
9 5
|
10 → 2
10 → 6
10 → 2 | K J 9 3
4 3
A K Q 2
K 10 7 |
| 8300. | 7 6 4
K 3
K Q 6
K J 9 8 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | J 9 8 3
A Q J 4
A 7 5 2
6
|
10 → 2
10 → 6
10 → 2 | A K Q 5
5 2
J 4 3
A Q 10 7 |
| 8701. | A 7 5
5 3 2
K J 7 6 4
Q 9
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K Q J 9 8 4
A J
5 3
A 10 5
|
10 → 7
10 → 5
10 → 3 | 6 3
K Q 4
A Q 2
K J 8 7 6 |
| 8925. | K 7 3
K 2
J 4 2
K J 8 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q J 9 8 5
A Q J 5
Q 7
Q 10
|
10 → 0
10 → 5
10 → 0 | A 6 4
4 3
A K 6 5 3
A 9 6 |
| 9461. | A J 7
K 5 4
J
Q J 10 7 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 6 5 4
J 3 2
A K Q 5 4
8
|
10 → 0
10 → 0
10 → 5 | K 9 8 3
A Q
7 6 3 2
A K 9 |
| 9474. | Q 9 3
A 5 2
6 4 3 2
A 10 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K J 8 6 4
J 4
A 7
8 7 5
|
10 → 7
10 → 3
10 → 3 | 7 5
K Q 3
K Q J 5
K Q J 9 |
| 9511. | 3
Q 5 3
K Q 6 5
Q 10 9 8 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K Q J 7 5 4
A 2
J 4
A J 6
|
10 → 7
10 → 6
10 → 4 | A 9 8 6
K J 4
A 7 3 2
K 7 |
| 9832. | J 9 3
J
K J 6 4
K 10 9 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 8 5
K Q 5 2
A 7 5
Q J 6
|
10 → 2
10 → 5
10 → 2 | A K 7 6 4
A 4 3
Q 3 2
A 8 |
| Simulation 8Z11 Main | | Top Long Suit or Punt II |
| 9981. | 5 4 3
A Q
Q J 7 4 3
10 9 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A K 8 6
4 3
A 5 2
K Q 8 5
|
10 → 4
10 → 4
10 → 4 | Q J 9 7
K J 5 2
K 6
A J 6 |
| 9982. | Q 9 6 3
Q J 2
A Q 4
10 9 8
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K J 5 4
A K 5
6 5 2
J 7 5
|
10 → 3
10 → 3
10 → 3 | A 8 7
4 3
K J 7 3
A K Q 6 |
| 9983. | 9 5 4
Q 5
Q J 7 3
A Q J 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A Q J 6 3
K 4 3 2
5
K 8 6
|
10 → 3
10 → 3
10 → 2 | K 8 7
A J
A K 6 4 2
10 9 5 |
| 9984. | 8 6 3
J 5 4 2
A Q 3
Q J 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K Q J 9 4
A 3
6 5
K 9 7 5
|
10 → 4
10 → 2
10 → 2 | A 7 5
K Q
K J 7 4 2
A 10 8 |
| 9985. | J 5
A K Q
Q J 7 2
10 9 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A Q 8 6 4
4 3 2
K 5
Q 8 6
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 2 | K 9 7 3
J 5
A 6 4 3
A K J |
| 9986. | K Q 6 5
K J 5
J 6 3
Q 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | 8 4 3
A 4 3
A K 4 2
J 10 6
|
10 → 3
10 → 3
10 → 4 | A J 9 7
Q 2
Q 7 5
A K 9 8 |
| 9987. | K Q 8
A 4
7 5 4 3
A 9 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A 7 6 5 4 3
5 3
A 6
Q 10 7
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 2 | J 9
K Q J 2
K Q J 2
K J 8 |
| 9988. | K Q 9
4 3 2
A J 7 5
9 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A J 6 3
K Q 5
4 3
K Q 8 6
|
10 → 6
10 → 6
10 → 6 | 8 7 5 4
A J
K Q 6 2
A J 10 |
| 9989. | Q 9 4
5 4 3
A K 6 4
A 10 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A 8 6 5
A
Q 7 3 2
J 9 6 5
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 3 | K J 7 3
K Q J 2
J 5
K Q 8 |
| 9990. | Q J 8
Q J
J 7 6 5
A Q 7 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A 9 4
K 5 4
A 4 2
J 10 9 6
|
10 → 2
10 → 3
10 → 2 | K 7 6 5 3
A 3 2
K Q 3
K 8 |
| Simulation 8Z11 Main | | Top Long Suit or Punt II |
| 9991. | K 9 6
Q J 5
A K 6 5
10 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 8 7 5
K 4
7 2
K Q J 8 7
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 2 | A J 4 3
A 3 2
Q J 4 3
A 9 |
| 9992. | K 5 4
K 4
K 5 2
A 10 7 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A 8 7 6 3
Q 5 3
J 6
K Q 8
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 2 | Q J 9
A J 2
A Q 7 4 3
J 9 |
| 9993. | J 9 8
K J
K Q 5 3
A 9 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | 7 6 4 3
A 4 3
A 6
Q J 10 7
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 2 | A K Q 5
Q 5 2
J 7 4 2
K 8 |
| 9994. | K 9 4
Q 4
A J 7 6 4 3
J 8
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 7 6 3
K J 3 2
K
A 10 9 5
|
10 → 1
10 → 2
10 → 1 | A J 8 5
A 5
Q 5 2
K Q 7 6 |
| 9995. | K 9 3
K 5 3
A 7 5 2
A 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q J 6 5 4
4
Q J 6 3
K 10 9
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 2 | A 8 7
A Q J 2
K 4
Q J 8 7 |
| 9996. | Q 9 7
K J
4 3 2
A 10 8 6 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | A J 5 4 3
A Q 4 3
K 7 6
7
|
10 → 2
10 → 6
10 → 2 | K 8 6
5 2
A Q J 5
K Q J 9 |
| 9997. | A 4 3
K J 3
Q
J 10 9 8 7 6
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K J 8 5
A Q 2
J 7 6 5 4
Q
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 2 | Q 9 7 6
5 4
A K 3 2
A K 5 |
| 9998. | K 7 4
A 4
Q J 6 2
Q J 9 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 9 8 5 3
Q 2
7 5
A K 10 5
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 2 | A J 6
K J 5 3
A K 4 3
8 6 |
| 9999. | J 8 6
2
K J 7 5 4 3
A 8 5
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | K Q 4 3
Q J 5 4
A
Q J 10 9
|
10 → 2
10 → 2
10 → 2 | A 9 7 5
A K 3
Q 6 2
K 7 6 |
| 10000. | J 7
A 5 4
K J 7 6 4
Q 10 7
|
10 2
10 9 8 7 6
10 9 8
4 3 2 | | Q 9 8 6
J 3 2
A 5
A K 8 6
|
10 → 4
10 → 3
10 → 3 | A K 5 4 3
K Q
Q 3 2
J 9 5 |
| Simulation 8Z11 Main | | Top Long Suit or Punt II |
© 2017 Richard Pavlicek