Analyses 8T65   Main


ACBL Instant Matchpoint Pairs


  by Richard Pavlicek

September 9, 2004

I hope you enjoyed playing in the 2004 ACBL Instant Matchpoint Pairs, an annual event inaugurated in 1987 to celebrate the ACBL’s 50th anniversary. Whether you won or came in average, or set a new record for bottom boards (hehe), try to find time to read these analyses and compare your results. You should find some helpful advice, and you might even beat my predictions. Determine your matchpoint scores from the tables (top is 100); double-dummy par scores are shown in bold.

I welcome any feedback — questions, criticisms, or whatever — about the analyses. If you wish a reply, please contact me by e-mail (richard@rpbridge.net).

Also, if you have access to the Internet, please visit my web site (rpbridge.net) where you will find a vast assortment of bridge material — quizzes, puzzles, humor, articles, systems, bidding practice, and more — all complimentary. Each month I conduct either a bidding poll (odd months) or a play contest (even months). This month it’s bidding, so stop by and cast your votes! October will feature another spooky Halloween play contest.

-Richard Pavlicek

ACBL Insert

Richard Pavlicek of Fort Lauderdale FL is one of the leading ACBL bridge players. He has won 10 North American championships including the coveted Vanderbilt Cup (1983, ‘86, ‘95), the Reisinger Cup (1982, ‘83, ‘84, ‘90), the Grand National Teams (1973, ‘97), and the Open Swiss Teams (1992).

Mr. Pavlicek is the author of many bridge teaching materials, and hosts an instructive web site dedicated to the advancement of bridge. He and his wife Mabel are successful bridge teachers in South Florida.

For the 18th year in a row, Pavlicek, a respected bridge analyst, has focused his highly skilled critical examination on each of the 36 deals in the ACBL Instant Matchpoint Pairs.

Board 1

Off to a red-hot start! East-West can make a slam in either red suit, but it’s hardly biddable. A common auction should be:

North DealsS 10 9 3WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+300 99
… 99
+150 98
… 97
+100 95
… 94
+50 89
… 85
-150 84
… 84
-170 83
… 83
-200 82
… 82
-230 81
… 80
-400 78
-420 73
-430 68
-440 65
-450 57
-460 46
… 43
-480 26
-490 9
… 8
-510 7
… 6
-920 5
… 4
-980 4
… 3
-1010 3
… 2
-1090 2
… 1
-1210 1
… 0
None VulH 9 7 5 4Pass1 SPass
D K 10 52 HPass3 DPass
C 9 8 64 HPassPassPass
S QTableS J 7 6 5 4
H A K Q J 10 3H
D 8 7 6 4D A Q J 9 3
C 10 2C A K 5
S A K 8 2
H 8 6 2
D 2
4 H WestC Q J 7 4 3

Some Souths may scrounge a 2 C overcall, which should not change the East-West bidding. West might sense a slam after East’s 3 D bid, but the four-card fit is less appealing without an honor. The key to slam is East having almost all his points outside of spades. For players to better visualize this, the Laws should allow opening bids like “one no spades.”

In hearts, 12 tricks are easily made by taking two diamond finesses. After a club lead, it is tempting to try for all 13: Ruff the third club, draw trumps, finesse diamonds once and hope they split. Oops; the price of greed is then only 11 tricks. Been there, done that.

In diamonds the same 12 tricks are available with careful play (ruff two black cards, win three hearts, finesse trumps twice) but it is doubtful many will play there. Even if West stretches to slam, it would be quite a position to choose diamonds over hearts at matchpoints.

Board 2

The action continues, as East has a routine 4 H bid at the vulnerability based on the “Rule of 2-3-4.” A reasonable auction:

East DealsS A Q JWestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+800 99
… 98
+750 97
… 97
+690 96
… 96
+660 95
… 93
+630 92
+620 89
+600 70
… 51
+500 46
… 41
+300 39
… 38
+250 37
… 37
+210 36
+200 35
… 34
+180 34
+170 32
… 31
+150 25
… 20
+130 18
… 17
+100 13
… 9
+50 6
… 5
-100 4
-110 3
… 2
-200 2
… 1
-500 1
… 0
N-S VulH 8 34 HPass
D A K 4 3PassDblPass4 NT
C 9 5 4 3Pass5 CPassPass
S K 10 7 6 4 3TableS 9 2Pass
H AH Q J 9 7 6 5 4 2
D Q JD 7 2
C Q 7 6 2C 8
S 8 5
H K 10
D 10 9 8 6 5
5 C NorthC A K J 10

South has a close decision whether to pass the double or bid 4 NT (pick a minor), and the latter seems better than trying for 800. Alas, 4 NT natural would be best of all (11 tricks are easy), but few players would interpret it that way; and of course there are some who would answer aces.

Five clubs appears to be the wrong minor, but 11 tricks should come home with straightforward play. Declarer does not have to guess the blank H A, as the spade finesse provides a discard, and the defense poses no threat.

In diamonds the same 11 tricks are likely, though it is possible to win 12 without a heart lead. Suppose East leads his club, won by the ace; spade finesse; D A-K; diamond to South; spade finesse; S A (pitch club) then duck a heart to the blank ace for an endplay. A bit far-fetched perhaps.

In hearts East is bound to win seven trump tricks against any defense, so 4 H is a profitable loss compared to any North-South game.

Board 3

Some Wests will open 2 H, but the flat pattern and broken suit are ominous at the vulnerability. This seems normal:

South DealsS K Q 9 7 5WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+1520 100
… 99
+1020 99
+1010 98
… 98
+990 97
+980 96
… 96
+940 95
… 95
+920 94
… 94
+800 93
… 92
+520 82
+510 65
+500 63
+490 51
+480 37
… 35
+460 29
+450 21
+440 20
+430 16
+420 13
+400 12
… 11
+270 11
+260 10
+240 9
+230 8
+210 7
+200 6
+190 5
+180 4
+170 3
… 2
-50 2
… 1
-100 1
… 0
E-W VulH A Q 4Pass
D A 6Pass2 NTPass3 NT
C A J 6PassPassPass
S 10 6 4TableS J 3 2
H K 10 9 6 3 2H J 5
D Q 3D K 10 9 8 7 5
C K 8C 10 3
S A 8
H 8 7
D J 4 2
3 NT NorthC Q 9 7 5 4 2

North’s 2 NT is better than 1 S because it shows the point count in one bid and assures he will declare notrump (1 S would usually elicit a 1 NT response). Further, concealing the five-card suit often has an advantage in the play, albeit at the slight risk of missing a superior spade contract.

The friendly lie of the cards allows 13 tricks to be won in notrump; and after the likely diamond lead, declarer should play for it (holding up the D A is useless). Curiously, if East leads either major suit, declarer should win only 12 tricks by leading clubs from hand. Is there a moral here? I hope not, but it punches some holes in the “Never lead from a jack” theory.

Either black suit also provides 13 tricks, which brings out the question: Is 6 C a good contract? No, I would say only fair; as with a diamond lead, the C K must be onside, and even then you will often fail. A heart lead offers better chances, but none that make you thrilled to be there — unless of course North is declarer.

Board 4

Assuming North resists the temptation to open 2 S (I refuse to testify on the grounds it may incriminate me), here’s a sound auction:

West DealsS K Q J 10 7WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+1470 99
+1460 98
… 98
+1430 97
… 97
+720 96
+710 80
… 65
+690 64
+680 56
… 48
+650 32
… 18
+630 17
+620 14
+600 12
… 11
+260 11
… 10
+230 10
… 10
+200 9
… 9
+170 8
… 8
+140 7
… 6
-100 5
… 3
-200 2
… 1
-300 1
… 0
Both VulH Q 6PassPassPass1 H
D 10 9 6 4Pass1 SPass3 C
C J 6Pass3 SPass4 H
S 8 6 4 3TableS 9 5 2PassPassPass
H 9 2H 10 7 5
D K 7 3D A Q J 2
C 10 8 7 4C Q 9 3
S A
H A K J 8 4 3
D 8 5
4 H SouthC A K 5 2

Especially note North’s descriptive 3 S (the suit quality covers the lack of a sixth card) rather than a mark-time heart preference or a pointless (pun intended) 3 D. If you don’t appreciate this, note that a spade contract makes as many tricks as hearts (or one more with a heart lead). The spade misfit is also the key to quell any ambitions beyond game; and rightly so, as the indicated diamond lead gives the defense their two and only tricks.

With a black-suit lead, declarer can win all 13 tricks in hearts (ruff two clubs and pitch both diamonds) — or in spades or notrump, for that matter — which means that some East-West pairs will play this round without taking a trick. “The cards always run North-South!” will be their complaint, followed by, “I’ll never play in another instant-matchpoint game again!” and probably, “Where does this Richard guy live?” Umm… heading for Brazil, where there’s no extradition.

Analyses 8T65   MainTop   ACBL Instant Matchpoint Pairs

Board 5

Some Norths will open 1 S, but lacking two defensive tricks I prefer 2 S (a broken suit is OK with 6-4 shape). East-West may then overbid:

North DealsS K J 8 5 4 3WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+730 99
… 99
+620 98
… 97
+500 97
… 96
+300 94
… 93
+200 92
… 91
+170 89
… 87
+150 86
+140 82
… 80
+110 79
+100 68
… 58
+50 48
… 39
-100 35
-110 29
… 26
-130 24
… 23
-200 18
… 14
-300 11
… 9
-400 5
… 4
-470 4
… 3
-500 3
… 2
-550 2
… 1
-800 1
… 0
N-S VulH A 32 S3 DPass
D 53 NTPassPassPass
C Q 8 6 3
S A 9 6TableS Q 7 2
H 9 6 4H 10 8 7
D 7 4D A K Q 10 9 3 2
C K J 10 9 7C
S 10
H K Q J 5 2
D J 8 6
3 NT WestC A 5 4 2

West’s 3 NT is ambitious but could bring a bonanza if North leads a spade — nine top tricks. Most players, however, are aware that it is generally poor strategy to lead your announced suit from a broken holding after making a weak bid. I would lead a club, which is a bark up the wrong tree; but South should shift to the H K, which North overtakes to set the contract two.

In diamonds, East can win only eight tricks with a spade lead (or a spade shift after cashing three hearts) because there is no way to score the S Q. The S A must be won to prevent a ruff, and trumps must be drawn, leaving the West hand entryless.

Many Norths will play in spades. The defense is somewhat stifled with East having no club to lead, but the best declarer can do legitimately is win nine tricks. Assuming two diamond leads, ruffed, I would just lead a spade from hand, then the defense can get two trumps and a club ruff. If declarer instead tries H A; H K; spade to king; spade, he can be held to eight tricks if West returns the C K and East pitches his last heart.

Board 6

The excitement continues, as South can put a thorn in the side of his opponents with a bold preempt. Take no prisoners!

East DealsS J 9 5WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+1100 99
… 98
+920 97
… 96
+800 95
… 93
+550 92
… 91
+500 88
… 86
+420 85
+400 78
… 71
+300 69
… 67
+200 61
… 57
+170 56
… 55
+150 51
… 47
+130 42
… 37
+110 36
+100 31
… 28
0 27
-50 21
… 16
-100 11
… 7
-140 6
-150 5
… 4
-300 3
… 2
-500 1
… 0
E-W VulH A Q 10 8 71 S5 C
D 5 4 35 SDblPassPass
C A 5Pass
S A 10 4 3 2TableS K Q 8 7 6
H K J 9 6H 5 4
D J 10D A Q 9 6
C 8 3C 10 7
S
H 3 2
D K 8 7 2
5 S× EastC K Q J 9 6 4 2

Many will fall short of the immediate 5 C bid, but it stands out a mile at the vulnerability. Creating pressure situations for your opponents is winning bridge, and any nonbeliever should ask himself what he would do as West. Pass or double might work this time; but how could you possibly know? I must admit I’d be lured into the 5 S bid; then, bang, North heeds the opportunity to wield the ax for a cool 800.

Actually, 5 C is not so much a sacrifice (East-West make all of 2 S) but a make if declarer guesses the play. After a spade lead, ruffed, the winning line is to finesse the H 10 (with or without drawing trumps first) — hardly clear-cut, though it seems like the proper play as there are still good chances if the finesse loses. Indeed, 12 tricks can be won by establishing the long heart after finessing twice, but this is double-dummy as it requires clubs 2-2 as well. Also reasonable is to finesse the H Q then play on diamonds, hoping diamonds are 3-3 or the fourth diamond can be ruffed if the defense slips; but I see no way home after this start.

Board 7

The phantom strikes again! Who knows what evil lurks on these cards, but I can picture this scenario at a few tables:

South DealsS 7WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+800 99
+790 98
… 98
+680 97
… 97
+650 96
… 95
+620 86
… 76
+500 75
… 75
+300 74
… 73
+200 68
… 63
+170 61
… 60
+140 60
… 60
+110 59
+100 51
… 43
0 41
… 40
-100 35
-110 30
… 29
-140 25
… 21
-170 20
… 19
-200 11
… 4
-500 3
… 2
-620 2
… 1
-800 1
… 0
Both VulH Q 6 5 3Pass
D A JPass1 C1 S2 H
C K 9 8 6 5 44 S5 HPassPass
S J 9 8 6 4TableS A Q 10 3 2DblPassPassPass
H 8 7H A J
D K 2D 9 8 5 3
C A J 10 3C 7 2
S K 5
H K 10 9 4 2
D Q 10 7 6 4
5 H× SouthC Q

Everyone but East had alternative actions. North might (should?) have passed at both turns; South might have made a negative double; and West had various ways to raise spades and might not have doubled the final contract. Nonetheless, the aggressive bids are appealing, as anyone who plays a lot of matchpoints knows, there is no reward for being average. “Live by the sword; die by the sword” is a good philosophy.

In hearts, 10 tricks are virtually assured with any sensible play; and the defense can’t lose any of its three tricks barring a blunder.

In spades East can win only eight tricks, provided the defense attacks hearts before a pitch can be obtained in the club suit. This does not require a heart opening lead, as declarer cannot benefit from the C Q lead, even at double-dummy. If the spade finesse is rejected to establish a club immediately, a heart switch is still timely since declarer can’t reach dummy.

Board 8

What should East do in third seat? A preempt with a side five-card major looks weird, but I would not miss an opportunity to be a nuisance:

West DealsS 4WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+1100 99
… 98
+800 96
… 94
+500 93
… 91
+460 90
+450 69
… 49
+430 48
+420 41
+400 33
… 33
+300 32
… 31
+210 31
+200 30
… 28
+170 27
… 26
+150 26
+140 24
… 23
+120 23
+110 22
+100 21
+90 20
+80 19
… 19
+50 18
… 17
-50 13
… 6
-100 4
… 3
-150 2
… 1
-300 1
… 0
None VulH J 10 6 5 4 3PassPass3 CDbl
D 6 3 2Pass3 HPass3 NT
C A 8 2Pass4 HPassPass
S 10 5 3TableS A 9 7 6 2Pass
H K 8 2H 7
D Q J 8 5 4D K
C 4 3C Q J 9 7 6 5
S K Q J 8
H A Q 9
D A 10 9 7
4 H NorthC K 10

South’s takeout double is surely better than an immediate 3 NT, as it keeps open the possibility of a spade contract (ha, East only wishes); then South suggests 3 NT, which North overrides with his undisclosed six-bagger. An excellent auction, which I think would be duplicated by all experts — well, except the 3 C bid, as my cage won’t fit everyone.

In hearts, 11 tricks should be won by driving out the S A for two diamond pitches; then the third club can be ruffed. Even the D K lead can’t stop this since West has no quick entry, though it is conceivable declarer might play for a different layout and duck, netting only 10 tricks.

Notrump plays poorly after a club lead, as hearts must be established while North has an entry; then a second club leaves declarer with only eight tricks — and East, a deadly entry.

Not surprisingly, the best result for North-South is to defend 3 C doubled (down three). Shh! If word gets out, I’ll be put back in that cage again.

Analyses 8T65   MainTop   ACBL Instant Matchpoint Pairs

Board 9

Finally, a little peace and quiet, as most East-West pairs will bid to a routine spade game. A standard sequence:

North DealsS J 3WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+200 99
… 99
+100 98
… 98
-120 97
… 97
-140 96
-150 95
… 95
-170 94
… 94
-200 93
-210 92
-230 91
… 91
-600 90
-620 86
-630 78
… 77
-650 43
-660 8
… 7
-680 3
… 0
E-W VulH Q 5 2Pass1 CPass
D Q 7 5 21 SPass1 NTPass
C 10 9 7 64 SPassPassPass
S K Q 10 9 8 5TableS A 6 2
H A 6H K J 10 9
D K 8D 9 6 3
C 8 3 2C K Q 4
S 7 4
H 8 7 4 3
D A J 10 4
4 S WestC A J 5

At matchpoints there is a good case for West to eschew playing in spades and raise 1 NT to 3 NT; or perhaps use a checkback sequence to leave 3 NT an option. On the actual layout, this would earn a fine score, as 11 tricks can be made in either contract. So often, it seems, the cards favor the bold.

In spades, suppose North leads a diamond to the ace, and a diamond is returned; trumps are drawn, and a club is led to the king and ace. Declarer now has to guess hearts (finesse North or ruff out the queen) for the overtrick. If South ducks the club to create a losing option, declarer could win 12 tricks by playing all out; but more likely, he will win 11 by ruffing out the H Q, reserving a second club play as a last resort.

In notrump, 11 tricks are easy if South leads a heart; but even after a diamond lead, declarer can do the same by finessing hearts through North, most likely after running spades first. The finesse may seem risky with nine top tricks, but it’s necessary after eschewing spades to play notrump.

Board 10

How should North bid his eight-bagger after partner opens 1 NT? This may depend on system, but here’s a reasonable standard sequence:

East DealsSWestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+1370 97
… 95
+800 94
… 94
+690 93
… 92
+660 90
… 87
+630 78
+620 65
+600 54
… 47
+500 46
… 46
+210 45
+200 44
… 44
+180 43
+170 42
… 42
+150 41
… 41
+130 40
… 40
+110 39
+100 38
… 37
-100 25
… 11
-140 10
… 9
-200 5
… 4
-300 3
… 2
-500 2
… 1
-730 1
… 0
Both VulH K J 5Pass1 NT
D K Q 10 9 7 6 3 2Pass2 CPass2 S
C 10 3Pass3 DPass3 NT
S K Q 8 7 2TableS J 9 5 3PassPassPass
H 7 4 3H A Q 10 6
D 4D J 8
C K 8 6 5C 9 7 2
S A 10 6 4
H 9 8 2
D A 5
3 NT SouthC A Q J 4

Stayman followed by 3 D is game-forcing and usually a slam try, but North’s ambitions are quelled when opener bids his void and later denies interest in diamonds. Thus, it seems right to take the money in notrump and worry about slam another day. Good stop, as even 5 D is in jeopardy.

In notrump declarer has 10 top tricks, which is also the limit against best defense. Nonetheless, it is easy to picture some Souths winning only nine after a spade lead by taking a late, losing club finesse (perhaps to a blanked king), or even going down after a diabolical heart lead and club switch.

Those who play minor-suit transfers, followed by 3 S to show shortness, may reach the ill-fated 6 D. Only a club lead by West (declarer must put up North’s 10) or a heart lead by East allows the slam to be made. With a spade lead, declarer cannot succeed by pitching a club and taking a ruffing club finesse, as it produces only 11 tricks. Most will take the straight club finesse and go down two.

Board 11

Despite only 27 HCP, good bidders should reach this excellent slam in diamonds. Using “structured reverses” the auction is likely to be:

South DealsS A 10 8 6 2WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+1090 99
… 99
+980 98
… 97
+920 89
… 78
+500 77
+490 76
+480 75
… 74
+460 74
+450 66
… 58
+430 57
+420 48
+400 35
… 30
+200 29
… 28
+170 26
… 23
+150 21
+140 19
+130 18
+120 17
+110 16
+100 15
… 14
-50 10
… 5
-100 4
… 3
-150 3
… 2
-200 2
… 1
-300 1
… 0
None VulH K 21 D
D K 9 8Pass1 SPass2 H
C 9 5 2Pass3 DPass3 H
S J 9 4 3TableS Q 7 5Pass3 SPass4 C
H 8 6H J 10 9 4Pass4 HPass4 NT
D Q J 3D 10Pass5 HPass6 D
C J 8 7 4C K Q 10 6 3All Pass
S K
H A Q 7 5 3
D A 7 6 5 4 2
6 D SouthC A

South’s 2 H is forcing, and the preference to 3 D creates a game force. (With a weak hand North must bid 2 S with five spades, else 2 NT.) Three hearts shows 5-6 shape; 3 S, 4 C and 4 H are control-bids; then Roman key-card Blackwood confirms the D Q is missing to rule out seven.

In diamonds there is little to the play. Draw two trumps, pitch a heart on the S A and ruff a heart. The expected red-suit breaks ensure that justice is served, as no other slam makes, and anyone in 7 D goes down.

If you miss the diamond slam, the next best contract is 4 H, as 11 tricks come home to beat those in 5 D. And don’t expect any sympathy if you played 3 NT because you had a stopper in every suit. In fact I’m ordering a bigger cage just to make room for you folks.

Board 12

Is North worth a 2 C opening? I think so, but I’m sure many would disagree. I would bid this way:

West DealsS A J 8 7 5 3 2WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+930 99
… 99
+800 98
+790 97
… 97
+650 96
… 95
+620 90
… 84
+500 83
… 83
+300 82
… 81
+200 79
… 76
+170 67
… 60
+150 59
+140 51
… 44
+110 43
+100 41
… 40
+50 38
… 37
-100 23
-110 8
… 8
-130 7
… 7
-200 6
… 4
-300 3
… 2
-400 2
… 1
-500 1
… 0
N-S VulH A Q J 9Pass2 CPass2 D
D APass2 SPass3 C
C 10Pass3 HPass3 NT
S K 10TableS Q 9Pass4 SPassPass
H 10 7 5 4H K 8Pass
D Q 8D K 10 9 5 2
C A 7 5 4 2C K J 9 8
S 6 4
H 6 3 2
D J 7 6 4 3
4 S NorthC Q 6 3

South’s 3 C is the popular “cheaper minor second negative” to show 0-4 HCP. North rightfully mentions his meaty heart suit, as it could uncover a spectacular fit. For example, opposite as little as S x H 10-x-x-x D x-x-x-x C x-x-x-x, even 6 H might make while 4 S goes down. South’s 3 NT is natural but dubious (some experts would prefer 3 S), then North completes the description of his giraffe (or ostrich, or swan…pick one) — hmm, all animals, which some might say fits the players as well.

Despite the 2-2 trump break, 4 S is destined to fail unless the defense slips or declarer takes a remarkable view in hearts. With routine play (H A then H Q) declarer is bound to lose two heart tricks, whether trumps are drawn or not. So much for my 2 C bid. Geez, partner, couldn’t you at least produce the ten of hearts? Oh well; the 1 S openers will be dancing in the streets when they discover that game goes down.

Analyses 8T65   MainTop   ACBL Instant Matchpoint Pairs

Board 13

Most paths lead to 4 S by West, which is eminently sound after South’s opening marks the D A onside. Here’s a reasonable auction:

North DealsS J 8 2WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+300 99
… 99
+200 98
… 96
+100 89
… 83
-100 82
-110 81
-120 79
… 78
-140 75
-150 71
… 70
-170 66
… 62
-200 60
… 58
-230 57
… 57
-300 56
… 56
-400 55
-500 54
… 54
-600 53
-620 32
-630 11
… 10
-650 6
-660 5
… 4
-680 4
… 3
-790 3
-800 2
… 1
-1100 1
… 0
Both VulH J 10 9PassPass1 D
D 10 9 71 SPass2 SPass
C J 9 7 63 CPass4 SPass
S A K 9 7 6TableS Q 10 3PassPass
H QH A 7 6 5 4 3
D K 6 4 2D 8
C A 10 2C Q 8 4
S 5 4
H K 8 2
D A Q J 5 3
4 S WestC K 5 3

West’s 3 C is a help-suit game try, and East has a clear acceptance with the C Q taking on value. Perhaps East should bid 3 H in case West has slam aspirations (e.g. S A-K-J-x-x H x D x-x C A-K-x-x-x would be sweet), but 4 S is the practical bid. As Oswald Jacoby (noted for his aggressive tactical bidding) once told me, “If you need a specific hand for slam, I don’t have it!” Even so, Jake might find a way to make it anyway.

In spades, after the D 10 lead to the ace and a trump shift, most declarers will settle for 10 tricks on a complete crossruff. It is possible to win 11 by winning the S A and playing for 3-3 hearts, 3-2 trumps and the S J in North for a needed entry, but that’s a long shot. A realistic line for the overtrick, based on the bidding, is to crossruff two hearts and a diamond without cashing the D K; then when hearts split 3-3, draw trumps to leave D K-6 C A-10-2 opposite H 7-6 C Q-8-4. South must keep three clubs to prevent a club duck, then win the D K and exit with a diamond for the endplay.

Board 14

Wow. The North-South hands are guaranteed to make 7 NT against any distribution, but the problem is getting there. How about:

East DealsS J 9WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+1520 91
+1510 80
… 77
+1100 76
… 75
+1020 72
+1010 49
… 30
+990 29
+980 28
… 28
+940 27
… 26
+800 26
… 25
+520 24
+510 14
+500 12
+490 11
+480 10
… 9
+450 9
+440 8
… 7
+420 7
… 6
+300 6
… 5
+260 5
… 4
+190 4
… 3
+100 3
… 2
-50 2
… 1
-100 1
… 0
None VulH A 9 7 3Pass1 H
D A K J 8 2Pass2 DPass3 D
C A 9Pass3 HPass3 S
S K 8 3TableS Q 10 6 5 4 2Pass4 NTPass5 S
H JH 6 5 2Pass5 NTPass6 C
D 7 6 5 4D 3Pass7 NTAll Pass
C Q J 7 6 2C 10 5 4
S A 7
H K Q 10 8 4
D Q 10 9
7 NT NorthC K 8 3

North’s 3 H is forcing per “two-over-one game-forcing” (arguably so in standard as well). South then shows spade control, which is all North needs to use Blackwood (Roman key-card); 5 S shows two key cards plus the trump queen. (When two suits are raised, my rule is that the higher suit is the key suit.) Five notrump seeks specific kings, and 6 C shows it. North’s only problem now is the D Q; but lacking methods to inquire, I would assume that card. Opener should not raise diamonds immediately on three low cards; so the worst I’d expect is D x-x-x-x, which makes the grand 53 percent — slightly inferior; but hey, let’s get lucky and win this event!

There is nothing to the play, with 13 tricks cold in diamonds, hearts or notrump. Even the precaution of winning the H K first isn’t necessary.

Board 15

Fire up the afterburners for some more action, as both sides should be into this dogfight. Here’s an aggressive maneuver by East:

South DealsS 10 3WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+670 99
… 98
+300 97
… 95
+150 94
… 92
+110 91
+100 87
… 83
+50 77
… 71
-100 69
-110 66
… 65
-130 58
-140 50
-150 45
… 40
-170 39
… 38
-200 34
… 31
-300 30
… 29
-400 28
-420 24
-430 18
… 14
-450 13
-460 12
… 10
-500 8
-510 5
… 4
-550 3
… 2
-800 1
… 0
N-S VulH A Q J 6 5Pass
D K Q 61 C1 HDblPass
C A 8 52 CDblRdbl2 H
S K Q 7TableS A 9 5 43 CPass3 NTPass
HH K 10 9 4PassPass
D A 4 3D 10 9 8
C Q J 7 6 4 3 2C K 9
S J 8 6 2
H 8 7 3 2
D J 7 5 2
3 NT EastC 10

Some bold Souths may raise hearts directly, but Confucius once say, “Two jack and vulnerable read fortune cookie for blind.” North’s double is takeout oriented (implying diamond support), East shows extra strength, and South confirms the heart fit. West tries once more to play in clubs, and East can’t resist the temptation to try 3 NT, hoping for a heart lead.

In notrump, only eight tricks can be won, though the defense is difficult. Assume South leads the H 8 (probably the best card after raising, but moot) to the ace as dummy lets go a club. North shifts to D K-Q, and if declarer ducks both, then the H Q. This is logical (based on the lead) if declarer plays routinely; but a falsecard (H 9 or 10) at trick one might fool North.

East-West have no makable game, so their best scores, besides stealing 3 NT, may come from doubling North-South pairs who ignore my ancient Chinese secret. Only eight tricks can be made in hearts.

Board 16

How did this deal get in here? Not even a singleton! This standard auction should be duplicated at most tables:

West DealsS 10 8 4WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+300 99
… 99
+200 98
… 97
+100 91
… 87
-90 86
-100 85
-110 84
-120 83
-130 82
-140 81
-150 80
… 80
-170 79
-180 78
… 77
-600 50
-620 16
-630 9
… 3
-660 2
… 1
-690 1
… 0
E-W VulH K J 10PassPass2 NTPass
D 8 43 NTPassPassPass
C Q 9 6 3 2
S 7 6 5TableS A Q J 9
H 9 8 6 2H Q 7 4
D A 7 5D K Q J 6
C K 10 7C A J
S K 3 2
H A 5 3
D 10 9 3 2
3 NT EastC 8 5 4

This deal brings up the age-old debate about whether to use Stayman with 4-3-3-3 shape. My philosophy is never to do so because over 75 percent of the time you won’t find a 4-4 fit, and the extra information may be helpful to the defense; and even when you find the fit, it’s still not clear the suit will play better. Nonetheless, there’s a large following that believes otherwise. With such a weak heart suit, however, I suspect many of the devout Stayman bidders would cross into my court on this occasion. But, we’ll never know since only the final contracts are recorded; not the auctions.

In notrump declarer is likely to win nine tricks, though there are pitfalls that wind up with eight, and the defense might give away 10. Suppose a diamond is led to the king, and declarer guesses to lead the S Q from hand (or S A then queen) to South’s king, then the diamond return is taken in East. Declarer might win the C A and run the jack, after which North should surely wise up to the heart shift — down one. Probably, the only scenario for an overtrick would be if South shifts to a club.

Analyses 8T65   MainTop   ACBL Instant Matchpoint Pairs

Board 17

Another 2 NT opening, at least by my methods (20-22), and West should probably take his chances in a spade game. Using Texas transfers:

North DealsS A 10 7 5WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+1100 99
… 99
+800 98
… 98
+500 97
… 97
+300 96
… 96
+200 95
… 95
+150 94
… 94
+100 93
… 89
+50 79
… 69
-120 68
… 67
-140 67
-150 66
… 66
-170 65
-180 64
… 64
-200 63
… 63
-400 62
-420 32
-430 4
… 3
-450 3
… 2
-480 2
… 1
-590 1
… 0
None VulH 10Pass2 NTPass
D 8 6 4 24 HPass4 SPass
C A J 10 6PassPass
S Q J 8 4 3 2TableS K 6
H 8 5 2H A K J 7
D 7D A K J 10
C 8 5 2C K 4 3
S 9
H Q 9 6 4 3
D Q 9 5 3
4 S EastC Q 9 7

Most tournament players use both Jacoby and Texas, so with slam interest (and 6+ spades) responder would use Jacoby and raise to game; hence, on this sequence opener has no option but to bid 4 S. Another advantage of using both conventions is that Jacoby followed by 4 NT is quantitative, and Texas followed by 4 NT is Blackwood. Those who play that 2 NT shows only 20-21 HCP will open the East hand 2 C and rebid 2 NT over the 2 D response; then West can use the same transfer assuming “system on” style, with a little more comfort in making 4 S.

In spades (by East) South is likely to lead a red suit, making 10 tricks easy. After a heart lead to the 10 and jack, it seems routine to cash D A-K for one club pitch, then lead trumps. The bad news is the 4-1 spade break, but the good news is the C A onside; so 10 tricks roll. If South is inspired to lead a black suit (or if West declares spades), declarer must guess to take the ruffing diamond finesse for his 10th trick.

Board 18

East does not have a standard opening, but with 2 1/2 quick tricks I think many (like me) will fudge a point at the vulnerability. Then perhaps:

East DealsS 10 4 3WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+750 99
… 99
+600 98
… 98
+300 97
… 96
+150 96
+140 95
+130 94
… 93
+110 93
+100 88
… 83
+50 53
… 24
-100 21
… 18
-140 13
… 9
-170 8
… 7
-200 6
… 4
-420 3
… 2
-500 1
… 0
N-S VulH 101 HPass
D K Q 84 HPassPassPass
C A K 5 4 3 2
S Q J 5TableS K 9 7
H K Q J 7 6 2H A 9 8 5 3
D 9 7 4D A 5 2
C 9C 7 6
S A 8 6 2
H 4
D J 10 6 3
4 H EastC Q J 10 8

Buying the contract at 4 H looks pretty sweet to West, as it would often be a steal. Alas, just another phantom, as North-South can’t make anything beyond 3 C. Hmm. Maybe West should just make a limit raise, then if North-South open their mouths, double ‘em. Now that’s what I call tight bridge, or credentials for the cuckoo nest (pick one), though it does seem to justify East’s opening.

In hearts, nine tricks are virtually cast in stone with any lead, play or defense. (Don’t quote me on this.)

If North-South play in clubs, the defense must attack spades to stop a 10th trick. This is not so easy with East on lead — I must admit I’d lead a trump — but some will lay down the H A, then West’s king (suit preference) should get the desired shift. Also note that if declarer ducks the spade shift, West must continue spades; but if North held S x-x H x D A-x-x C A-K-x-x-x-x-x, a diamond shift is necessary to prevent an endplay.

Board 19

To many players, favorable vulnerability is like invulnerability, and the tendency is to let the feathers fly. (The meek may proceed to Board 20.)

South DealsS K 8WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+530 99
… 98
+500 95
… 91
+470 90
+460 89
+450 88
… 88
+420 87
+400 85
… 84
+200 78
… 73
+170 71
… 70
+150 70
+140 66
+130 62
+120 61
+110 57
+100 52
+90 49
… 48
-50 43
… 37
-100 30
-110 22
… 21
-140 18
-150 12
… 9
-200 7
… 5
-300 4
… 4
-670 3
… 3
-730 2
… 0
E-W VulH A Q 23 S
D A Q 104 HDblPassPass
C Q 10 9 8 4Pass
S A 4TableS 10 7 6
H K J 10 9 8 3H 7 4
D J 9 6 4D K 8 5 3
C AC K 5 3 2
S Q J 9 5 3 2
H 6 5
D 7 2
4 H× WestC J 7 6

The only thing more disgusting than South’s hand is his bid, but note the result. West is set up like a pigeon for an easy 500 and a North-South top. As West, wouldn’t you bid 4 H? Of course. It’s like the movie The Sting, except there’s no collusion. It just shows that bold preempts are a winning tactic, and anyone who tells you differently is just hiding his scars.

In hearts, only eight tricks can be won if North leads the S K — another plus for the preempt, as a club lead allows nine. If declarer wins the S A, C A and leads a diamond, North takes the ace to continue spades; but the defense must be careful not to set up North for a squeeze. The obvious remedy is for South to return a diamond, but this isn’t necessary. When North wins his first heart, he can return a club; then if declarer ruffs a club to isolate the threat, North can kill the threat (even if dummy kept the C K). If declarer instead wins the C K and continues trumps, North must not lead a third club (a self-sting?) but exit in trumps to let South guard clubs.

In spades, eight tricks can be won if West gets a club ruff; else nine.

Board 20

After East’s light third-seat opening, South is surely too strong for a mere 1 H overcall, so I would expect this auction:

West DealsS 4 3WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+2220 100
… 99
+1470 99
+1460 98
… 97
+1430 97
… 96
+800 96
… 96
+720 95
+710 64
… 33
+690 32
+680 25
… 19
+650 14
… 10
+620 9
… 9
+260 8
… 7
+230 7
+210 6
+200 5
+190 4
… 3
+170 3
… 2
-100 2
… 1
-200 1
… 0
Both VulH K 9 6PassPass1 CDbl
D K J 9 4 31 S2 DPass2 H
C J 8 3Pass4 HPassPass
S Q J 10 7 6TableS K 9Pass
H 10 8H Q 3
D Q 10D 8 7 5 2
C 10 9 5 2C K Q 7 6 4
S A 8 5 2
H A J 7 5 4 2
D A 6
4 H SouthC A

This sequence brings out a point in bidding theory that few partnerships have discussed. Is 2 H forcing? Obviously, it shows a good hand, and it would not be forcing if North’s bid were forced; but when North bids freely (suggesting 6-9 points), it probably should be forcing — at least I play it so. Hence, North has a clear raise to game, although in this case South would accept after a wimpy 3 H. Indeed, there’s a case for South to bid again over 4 H; but recalling the previous Oswald Jacoby advice, I would pass.

Wow. Thirteen tricks in hearts, diamonds or notrump, albeit due to queens and 10s falling like flies. Would you want to be in 6 H on the North-South cards? No, it seems only fair at best. Even with hearts 2-2, you might fail; and if the H Q stands up, you need a miracle (typically D Q-x-x onside and no spade lead). Therefore, point-count bidding gets a reprieve. Evidently, Jake was right again: I needed the D Q (instead of two jacks) for a good slam, and he didn’t have it.

Analyses 8T65   MainTop   ACBL Instant Matchpoint Pairs

Board 21

Back to the mundane, as most East-Wests will stop comfortably in 3 NT. Of the many paths to get there, I recommend:

North DealsS 9 7 2WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+150 99
… 99
+100 98
… 98
+50 97
… 97
-140 96
-150 95
… 95
-170 94
… 94
-200 93
-210 92
-230 91
-240 90
-260 89
… 89
-400 88
-420 87
-430 86
… 85
-450 83
-460 55
… 28
-480 27
-490 15
… 6
-510 5
-520 3
… 2
-980 2
-990 1
… 0
N-S VulH Q 9 5 2Pass1 DPass
D 7 5 41 SPass1 NTPass
C 8 5 33 NTPassPassPass
S A K 10 8 4TableS Q 5
H A J 10H K 7
D A 2D Q J 10 8 6
C 9 7 4C K Q 6 2
S J 6 3
H 8 6 4 3
D K 9 3
3 NT EastC A J 10

The auction provides two good pointers in matchpoint strategy: (1) East’s off-shape 1 NT rebid offers better scoring potential than 2 C, especially with K-x in the unbid major. (2) West’s decision not to check back (with new minor forcing, or whatever) is based on the likelihood that notrump will produce the same number of tricks as spades — though in this case that’s not true, as a 12th trick is makable in spades even with a 5-2 fit.

In notrump declarer can easily win 11 tricks by establishing diamonds, and many will steal 12. After a heart lead, if declarer wins the D A and gives up a diamond, South must cash his C A or risk losing it, as declarer has 12 tricks with spades running — though he might lead clubs himself to play safe for 11. Another possibility (more likely in 6 NT) would be if declarer leads a club to the king early. South can duck safely; but if he wins the ace, he must return a club — otherwise declarer can reach an ending of D A C 9-7 opposite D J-10 C Q for a crisscross squeeze.

Board 22

A laydown heart slam will be reached by most East-West pairs, though their approaches will vary by system. Here’s one way:

East DealsS Q 6 4 3 2WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+300 99
… 99
+200 98
… 98
+100 97
… 97
-230 96
… 96
-620 95
… 95
-650 94
… 93
-680 80
-690 64
-710 63
… 63
-800 62
… 62
-1100 61
… 61
-1190 60
… 60
-1400 59
… 58
-1430 34
-1440 4
-1460 2
-1470 1
… 0
E-W VulH1 HPass
D J 8 6 5 23 NTPass4 NTPass
C Q 8 35 HPass6 HPass
S A 10TableS K J 8PassPass
H 10 6 5 4 2H A K Q 8 7 3
D K 10D Q 7
C A 10 7 4C K 9
S 9 7 5
H J 9
D A 9 4 3
6 H EastC J 6 5 2

Three notrump is a game-forcing heart raise with no singleton or void. While opener lacks diamond control, I wouldn’t worry about it with three unbid suits and a hand so otherwise suitable for Blackwood. Actually, my final bid would be 6 NT, but let’s keep that our little secret.

In hearts South can end the play quickly by cashing the D A; but a club lead makes it interesting: Declarer ducks in dummy, and North puts up the queen. Oops. Declarer now can squeeze South for all the tricks, beating even those desperadoes (present company included) in 6 NT. To foil the squeeze, North must withhold the C Q — a tough play, and potentially embarrassing if partner has the C K. Some declarers, of course, will play safe for 12 tricks after any defense; but matchpoints is a disease with no known cure.

In notrump declarer needs the spade finesse for his 12th trick; but chances are much better than 50-50 because a spade is likely to be led, and if not you can force a lot of discards before deciding which way to go.

Board 23

On Board 1, I mentioned the need for a “one no spades” bid, and it seems to be growing. I suppose this will be a common auction:

South DealsS Q 5 4WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+500 99
+400 98
… 98
+300 97
… 97
+200 96
… 96
+100 95
… 95
-110 94
… 94
-130 93
-140 92
-150 91
… 91
-170 90
-180 89
… 89
-200 88
-210 87
… 87
-600 86
-620 85
-630 66
… 45
-660 25
… 6
-690 5
… 4
-1370 2
… 0
Both VulH Q 9 8 6 4Pass
D 6 41 SPass1 NTPass
C 9 7 22 NTPass3 NTPass
S 8 7 6 3 2TableS JPassPass
H A KH J 5 3
D A 9 2D K Q 10 7
C A Q JC K 10 6 4 3
S A K 10 9
H 10 7 2
D J 8 5 3
3 NT EastC 8 5

Got to get those spades in! The good news is that it may inhibit a spade lead; but the bad news is that partner won’t have a clue what your hand looks like. Sure enough, a good club slam goes by the wayside. Notice how much better a 1 C opening would fare; but I’m only dreaming.

In notrump, the 1 S bid not only stops that lead, but South may donate an 11th trick by leading a diamond — unless he belongs to one of two schools: (1) Always lead a major, or (2) never lead from a jack. Even after a heart lead, South must discard well to avoid surrendering 11 tricks.

The top spot for East-West is 6 C, but few will reach it. Declarer should succeed with either of two reasonable lines: (1) Establish the fifth spade with a dummy reversal, which requires 3-2 trumps, or (2) concede a spade and draw two trumps; then, when trumps are known to split, ruff two spades in the process of obtaining a heart ruff. In the second case, South will be squeezed, so no double-dummy diamond play is needed.

Board 24

Quiet on the set! Lights! Camera! And the action begins, with South in the starring role:

West DealsS Q 8 7WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+300 99
… 99
+200 98
… 97
+100 96
… 94
+50 77
… 61
-50 60
… 59
-100 59
… 58
-140 58
-150 57
… 56
-170 56
… 55
-200 55
… 54
-300 52
… 50
-420 34
-430 19
… 18
-450 12
… 8
-480 7
… 6
-500 6
… 5
-590 5
… 4
-650 4
… 3
-690 3
… 2
-800 2
… 1
-980 1
… 0
None VulH K Q 9 6 4 21 C2 H2 S5 H
D J 7 35 SPassPassPass
C 4
S K 10 9 6TableS A J 5 3 2
HH A 3
D A Q 9 4D K 8 6
C Q J 8 3 2C 10 9 5
S 4
H J 10 8 7 5
D 10 5 2
5 S EastC A K 7 6

A perfect set up, though not without risk, as 5 H can be set 500. Is there a bridge player in the world who would not bid 5 S as West? Well, I suppose a few might bid 6 S; but anyone who doubles (or passes and sits for a double) either misheard the bidding or attended the hand-record party.

In spades, the defense can win the first three tricks, but it’s not so obvious with standard signals. North’s club card is ambiguous (could be x-x-x), so South has a problem at trick two. A high-club continuation must be the favorite, as it always gains if partner has the singleton; whereas it may not matter if declarer has the singleton (partner is unlikely to have the D K). On this occasion, South might get a reprieve if he shifts to a diamond — though an expert declarer might guess the spade layout from the 5 H bid. The only follow-up sure to cost is a trump or a low club at trick two.

Those doubled in 5 H may be spared a pound of flesh when East leads his partner’s suit. I’d do the same, as the only reasonable alternative is the H A, and seeing that drop partner’s king would be more painful.

Analyses 8T65   MainTop   ACBL Instant Matchpoint Pairs

Board 25

South might as well continue his heroic tactics on this board, perhaps earning another Oscar nomination. Matchpoints at its finest:

North DealsS K 5 2WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+500 99
… 99
+300 98
… 97
+200 92
… 85
+110 84
+100 73
+90 61
… 60
-50 60
… 59
-90 57
-100 54
-110 44
-120 33
… 32
-140 24
-150 15
… 14
-170 10
… 7
-200 6
… 5
-300 5
… 4
-500 4
… 3
-600 3
-620 2
… 1
-650 1
… 0
E-W VulH 8 6 5PassPassPass
D A 10 8 31 DPass1 HPass
C A 10 72 HPassPassDbl
S A J 10 7TableS Q 9Pass2 S3 HPass
H A J 4 3H K Q 10 7 2PassPass
D J 9 7D Q 6
C Q 2C J 5 4 3
S 8 6 4 3
H 9
D K 5 4 2
3 H EastC K 9 8 6

After East-West stop comfortably in 2 H, most South players would go quietly. It takes a true matchpoint buff to back in with a double, especially after his side was willing to pass out the deal. North has no unbid suit to bid, so he grabs the only home at the two-level. East pushes on to 3 H based on the nine-trump theory — or maybe he just likes doubleton queens.

Well, the evil deed worked, as 3 H is down one with good defense. After a spade lead, ducked to the king, North probably should switch to a low diamond; South wins and returns a diamond to the ace; then North leads the C A, collecting the nine from South to complete the cash-out.

So how would that sickly 2 S bid fare? Probably just fine, as East is likely to lead the H K; then declarer can score two heart ruffs in addition to his natural tricks — down only one. The killer is the S Q, which holds declarer to five tricks. You’ve heard it before: Double and lead trumps!

Board 26

Some Easts (auction bridge players, no doubt) will open 4 S, but most of us want more bids for our entry fees. This seems pretty normal:

East DealsS J 6 5WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+1100 99
… 99
+800 98
… 98
+730 97
… 97
+600 96
… 96
+500 95
+400 94
… 94
+300 93
… 93
+200 92
… 88
+100 66
… 45
-140 43
… 42
-170 41
… 40
-200 39
… 39
-300 38
… 38
-500 37
… 37
-600 36
-620 22
-630 5
… 5
-650 4
… 3
-680 3
… 2
-790 2
-800 1
… 0
Both VulH 10 91 SPass
D Q 9 8 21 NTPass4 SPass
C A Q 10 4PassPass
S 3TableS K Q 10 9 8 7 4 2
H K 7 3 2H A
D K 10 7 5D A
C K J 8 7C 9 6 5
S A
H Q J 8 6 5 4
D J 6 4 3
4 S EastC 3 2

The only real decision is whether East is worth 4 S at his second turn. Considering the ill fate after catching 10 HCP in dummy, perhaps 3 S is correct; but a good partner would have the decency to put down the C A and maybe a blank S J as a cushion. Some Souths may enter the fray with a risky overcall, but nothing is likely to change the final contract of 4 S.

In spades, only nine tricks can be won. After a red-suit lead, declarer should win both aces and exit with the S K; then a club shift gives the defense two clubs and two trump tricks. Even the double-dummy play of leading the S 10 doesn’t do any better, as North can win the club cheaply and exit in trumps to wait for two more club tricks. An original club lead will hold declarer to eight tricks, barring a peek at the spade position.

Speaking of peeks, why play in piques when you have a game in notrump? Heart lead; S 10; claim. In fact, this line of play is almost guaranteed to produce nine tricks — for one side or the other.

Board 27

Sound bidding should land most East-Wests in game despite only 22 HCP and tame distribution. It’s hard to improve on this auction:

South DealsS 10 8 7WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+100 99
… 98
+50 97
… 96
-50 95
… 95
-90 94
-100 93
-110 92
-120 91
-130 90
-140 88
-150 84
… 83
-170 71
… 59
-200 58
… 57
-230 57
… 56
-420 30
… 7
-450 6
… 5
-480 5
… 4
-500 4
… 3
-590 3
… 2
-800 2
… 1
-1100 1
… 0
None VulH Q 3Pass
D J 10 51 SPass1 NTPass
C A K 9 6 22 HPass3 HPass
S A K Q 9 2TableS J 44 HPassPassPass
H A J 10 4H 9 8 6 2
D 9 3D A K 8 6 4
C 8 5C 10 7
S 6 5 3
H K 7 5
D Q 7 2
4 H WestC Q J 4 3

Some Easts will pass 2 H, which certainly could be right, but it strikes me as an insult to partner. Over 3 H, West has a clear acceptance.

In hearts, any reasonable play produces 10 tricks, simply by finessing hearts twice. The only deviation that might occur is if North doesn’t cash two clubs, allowing an overtrick (if declarer pursues it by cashing three spades), but this is quite a blunder in view of dummy. North’s best hope to defeat the contract is to win two trump tricks (e.g., if South has A-x-x, K-J-x or K-10-7) so it would be foolish to let a club get away.

Want to see 4 H go down? North leads a low club to South, who switches to the S 3, an obvious singleton from declarer’s point of view. If declarer now finesses hearts, he will go down two when North has H K-x or Q-x, losing a ruff and an overruff. So an expert saves a trick by leading ace and a heart. His expression when he learns spades were 3-3? Priceless!

Board 28

Another preempt! This time West sets the stage with 3 H (classic at the vulnerability), but the tactics could backfire:

West DealsS Q J 10 6WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+1440 99
+1430 98
… 97
+1370 96
… 96
+800 95
… 94
+680 86
… 78
+660 71
+650 51
… 37
+630 36
+620 27
+600 20
… 19
+500 18
… 18
+300 17
… 16
+230 15
… 15
+200 14
… 14
+170 13
… 13
+150 12
… 12
+100 11
… 10
+50 10
… 9
-100 6
… 3
-200 2
… 1
-500 1
… 0
N-S VulH A3 HDblPass3 NT
D A Q 2PassPassPass
C K 10 9 7 2
S 8 4TableS A 5 2
H K 10 9 8 4 3 2H 7 5
D 10 5 3D K 9 8 6 4
C 4C J 8 5
S K 9 7 3
H Q J 6
D J 7
3 NT SouthC A Q 6 3

After North’s takeout double, South cannot be sure of finding four spades; so with an abundance of high cards and a slow heart stopper, 3 NT stands out. Oh, no! When dummy hits with four spades and a singleton H A, South will regret his decision; but he may be smiling when it’s over.

What should West lead against 3 NT? A heart seems wrong with no side entry, so it’s a spade or a diamond. I’d choose a spade because it’s safer, and it’s more likely to hit partner’s suit. Well, so much for that theory, as it gives declarer an easy path to 11 tricks. The contract is always secure, of course, but a diamond allows the defense to win three tricks (East shifts to a heart next) though declarer can make it difficult by playing the D Q at trick one. In any case, the 11th trick is huge with most pairs in 4 S.

In spades (by South) 11 tricks can be made. West will usually lead his club to get a ruff; then the D K is shut out by accurate play. If West instead leads a diamond, declarer should grab the ace, conceding the D K but no ruff. If North is declarer, 12 tricks roll unless East is inspired to lead a club.

Analyses 8T65   MainTop   ACBL Instant Matchpoint Pairs

Board 29

Ah! Finally, an auction where I can vent my dislike for support doubles. The topic is North’s rebid, and I would bid this way:

North DealsS A J 9 3WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+1700 99
… 99
+1400 98
… 98
+1100 97
… 97
+800 96
… 95
+680 94
… 92
+650 58
… 23
+620 17
+600 10
… 10
+500 9
… 9
+300 8
… 8
+200 7
… 7
+170 6
… 6
+150 5
+140 4
… 4
-100 3
… 2
-200 1
… 0
Both VulH Q 10 41 DPass1 H
D A Q J 102 C2 HPass4 H
C 7 2PassPassPass
S K 10 8 7TableS 6 5 4
H 9 7H 8 2
D 2D K 8 7 5
C A K Q 9 8 6C 10 5 4 3
S Q 2
H A K J 6 5 3
D 9 6 4 3
4 H SouthC J

Alas, many tournament players now double 2 C to show three-card heart support, reserving the raise to promise four. On the surface this seems good, but I believe it is a losing strategy. While the information sometimes helps partner, it also helps both opponents, e.g., in judging whether to compete, or sacrifice, or in choosing the opening lead. These odds alone suggest it will work against you, plus it’s also nice to have a penalty available when you’re sitting behind the bidder. Enough ranting. Actually, I hope people continue to use this convention, as I need every edge I can get.

In hearts, 11 tricks should be made. After two rounds of clubs, ruffed, declarer should draw trumps ending in South and take the spade finesse first to build transportation for multiple diamond finesses. (If diamonds are led first, declarer will be awkwardly placed if the finesse wins.) If West leads his singleton (or shifts after a top club lead), declarer might be held to 10 tricks; though it feels right to grab the D A under the circumstances.

Board 30

A partscore battle is likely at many tables, and the key is to compete at the two level but sell out to three:

East DealsS 10 8 5 4WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+1000 99
… 99
+500 98
… 98
+200 97
… 97
+180 96
… 96
+150 95
+140 91
… 89
+120 88
+110 84
+100 76
+90 71
+80 69
+70 68
+50 55
… 42
-50 33
… 24
-90 23
-100 20
-110 13
-120 8
… 7
-140 7
-150 6
… 5
-280 5
-300 4
… 3
-420 3
… 2
-470 2
… 1
-500 1
… 0
None VulH K 9 7 4Pass1 C
D Q 9 41 NTPass2 DPass
C Q 22 HPassPass2 S
S A 7TableS Q 6 23 HPassPassPass
H 10 6 3H Q J 8 5 2
D K J 7D 8 6 5 2
C A K 9 6 4C J
S K J 9 3
H A
D A 10 3
3 H WestC 10 8 7 5 3

East’s 2 D is a transfer, and South lays low until he learns that East is going nowhere. Some will pass 2 H, but this suggests a lack of table feel. It is also sound for South to reopen with a double, but I like 2 S as it might find a home in a 4-3 fit. West competes to 3 H, and North wisely passes.

In hearts, eight tricks should be won. Assuming West is declarer with a spade lead, best technique is to put up the queen and duck the king; win the spade return (best); C A-K; ruff a club (North pitches a diamond), and lead a diamond to the king, etc. South can make it tough by hopping with the D A to lead a high club, letting North pitch his last diamond; but declarer can still survive by ruffing the spade and leading the good C 9, ruffed and overruffed; then exit with a diamond, and he must get another trick.

Eight tricks are also par in spades. The defense easily takes two clubs and two trumps (with an overruff) and must get a diamond or a third trump.

Board 31

A heart game should be reached by most East-West pairs, probably after this standard overbid:

South DealsS A 10 7WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+500 99
… 99
+300 98
… 98
+200 97
… 97
+150 96
… 94
+100 88
… 81
+50 55
… 30
-80 29
-90 28
-100 27
-110 26
-120 22
-130 19
-140 14
-150 9
… 9
-170 8
-180 7
… 7
-400 6
-420 3
-430 2
… 1
-460 1
… 0
N-S VulH Q 10 7 4Pass
D 41 DPass1 HPass
C 10 9 8 4 24 HPassPassPass
S J 5TableS K 9 8 4
H A J 6 2H 9 8 5 3
D A Q J 8D K 9 7 2
C A Q 3C 7
S Q 6 3 2
H K
D 10 6 5 3
4 H EastC K J 6 5

Assuming a five-card-major system, East bids up-the-line to show his heart suit (as Terence Reese rolls over in his grave). West is probably worth only 3 H with his assortment of quacks, but we’ve all done worse things. Or in the words of Super Dave Osborne, “A little optimism never hurt.”

In hearts declarer has only three definite losers, but there is no way to manage 10 tricks with the 4-1 trump break. Assume a spade lead to the ace, and the S 7 return (no reason to waste the 10) won by the king; then a heart; king, ace. If declarer stops leading trumps, North must get a diamond ruff. If trumps are continued, North wins and clears trumps to leave declarer a trick short (even with the club finesse). There is no path to success barring a defensive error; speaking of which, note that if North fails to clear trumps and leads the S 10 to tap dummy, declarer gets home.

Some Wests will play in notrump, but only eight tricks are available after the obvious club lead.

Board 32

An unfriendly diamond break will find many North-South pairs getting overboard, so I’ll go with the armchair light version:

West DealsS Q J 6WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+800 99
… 99
+430 98
… 98
+400 97
+380 96
… 96
+300 95
+280 94
… 94
+200 93
… 93
+180 92
… 92
+150 91
… 91
+130 90
+120 89
+110 83
+100 74
+90 59
… 44
-50 29
… 14
-100 9
-110 5
… 4
-150 4
… 3
-200 3
… 2
-300 2
… 1
-800 1
… 0
E-W VulH K 7 6Pass1 DPass1 NT
D A Q J 8 3 2PassPassPass
C 10
S 10 7 5 4TableS K 9 3
H A J 9 8H Q 10 5
D 5D K 10 9 7
C 9 8 5 3C A 6 2
S A 8 2
H 4 3 2
D 6 4
1 NT SouthC K Q J 7 4

South’s 1 NT is conservative with his likely source of tricks, but 5-3-3-2 hands often prove to be disappointing. Responding 2 C would necessitate a rebid (in most methods) which could be awkward, so it seems like a good time to go low (it also helps to see all four hands). Some Norths will rebid 2 D, but at matchpoints I’d try for the higher score.

In notrump South can win seven tricks, but there are opportunities to go astray. Suppose West leads a spade (my choice), covered by the queen and king. The simple route is to win the S A and establish diamonds. Dummy has adequate entries, and the defense wins only two spades, two diamonds and two aces if they continue spades; or three hearts, two diamonds and the C A if they shift to hearts. This line also has the upside that the defense may shift to clubs (thank you) in view of dummy’s singleton.

In diamonds North can be held to seven tricks with a heart lead to the ace and a spade switch (killing South’s entry), but the defense will often be more merciful. If East leads a low spade, declarer can win nine tricks.

Analyses 8T65   MainTop   ACBL Instant Matchpoint Pairs

Board 33

With 34 HCP, almost all East-Wests will reach slam. Here’s a sound auction using inverted minor raises:

North DealsS J 10 9 2WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+100 99
… 99
+50 98
… 97
-170 96
… 95
-420 94
… 93
-460 92
… 91
-490 89
-500 86
… 86
-520 85
… 85
-800 84
… 83
-920 80
… 75
-990 39
… 6
-1020 5
… 4
-1090 4
-1100 3
… 2
-1230 2
… 1
-1400 1
… 0
None VulH J 10 6 5 4Pass1 DPass
D 82 DPass2 NTPass
C A 10 93 CPass3 NTPass
S ATableS K Q 56 NTPassPassPass
H A Q 2H K 9 3
D A Q 7 5 2D K J 6 4
C K J 4 3C Q 8 7
S 8 7 6 4 3
H 8 7
D 10 9 3
6 NT EastC 6 5 2

West has some hopes for a grand slam, so he proceeds slowly with 3 C; but when opener confirms stoppers in both majors, he gives up on the magic hand. Note that if opener held, say, S J-x-x H K-x-x D K-x-x-x C A-Q-x, he would bid 3 H to show a heart stopper (implying no spade stopper); then responder would appreciate the fit and continue to explore for seven.

There is nothing to the play, as driving out the C A provides the 12th trick. North can even afford to duck without loss, but I suppose some will duck twice and save their ace for bedtime.

Any pair in 6 D is lucky to receive any matchpoints. It’s hard to believe that 54 East-West pairs (out of 1266) went minus when this deal was played in Europe in 1997. Ah, Europe; that explains it. Seriously, the reason might be due to ace-asking mix-ups. With the advent of kickback, 1430, redwood and whatever, even grown men can’t count to four any more.

Board 34

Just when you thought it was safe to go back in the water, you may be clenched by the jaws of a weak two-bid:

East DealsS 10 7WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+170 99
… 99
+140 98
+130 96
+120 94
+110 92
+100 90
+90 88
… 87
+70 86
+50 85
… 84
-100 80
… 76
-140 71
… 66
-170 54
… 42
-200 34
… 26
-300 25
… 25
-400 24
-420 21
… 18
-450 17
… 17
-500 16
… 16
-530 15
… 14
-590 9
… 4
-630 3
… 2
-690 2
… 1
-800 1
… 0
N-S VulH K Q 10PassPass
D A K J 6 22 SDbl4 SPass
C K 10 6PassDblPassPass
S A K J 5 3TableS Q 8 6 2Pass
H J 6H 4 3 2
D 10D Q 8 5 4
C 9 8 5 3 2C A Q
S 9 4
H A 9 8 7 5
D 9 7 3
4 S× WestC J 7 4

West’s 2 S is clearly right in third seat (I would say any seat, but at least toss me a bone for passing the South hand). North doubles for takeout, and East takes the advance sacrifice. North’s second double is questionable, but East’s jump to game as a passed hand is just too blatant to ignore. South judges well to pass throughout with his shapeless hand.

Alas, so much for advance sacrifices, or any other kind for that matter. Four spades is cold with the C K in the slot and friendly breaks. In fact, some will even make an overtrick when North leads a high diamond and the defense fails to cash two hearts immediately.

Despite the catastrophe, note that South still did better to pass: Minus 590 beats minus 800. East should double 5 H (the C A-Q behind dummy is too beautiful to resist) and routine defense sets it three — possibly four if West leads a club at trick two. I suppose some will get out for down two if West cashes two spades and shifts to a diamond.

Board 35

North has an awkward hand to bid, especially after East’s overcall and hearing bad news from partner. I’d take this route:

South DealsS A KWestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+500 99
… 99
+430 98
+420 97
+400 95
… 94
+300 93
… 93
+210 92
+200 91
… 89
+180 88
+170 85
… 83
+150 81
+140 77
+130 72
+120 70
+110 56
+100 43
+90 39
… 36
-50 28
… 21
-80 20
-90 19
-100 15
-110 10
… 9
-150 6
… 3
-200 2
… 1
-500 1
… 0
E-W VulH A 7 6 3Pass
D Q J 9 8 6Pass1 D1 SPass
C K JPassDblPass2 C
S Q 8 5TableS J 10 7 3 2Pass2 DPassPass
H 9 8 5H K J 4Pass
D 10 7 5 4D A K
C Q 9 2C 10 7 4
S 9 6 4
H Q 10 2
D 3 2
2 D NorthC A 8 6 5 3

All but the final bid seem routine. It could be right to pass 2 C; but the hefty diamond spots and outside chance for game persuade me to try 2 D, which indicates a good hand (not just a dislike for clubs). South is close to another bid, but the lack of a diamond fit or a spade stopper dims prospects. If South does bid again, I like 2 H — hehe, because 4 H can be made.

In diamonds it is possible to win 10 tricks, but this requires four eyes (similar to the 3 NT line below). With normal play, even if declarer finesses the D 9-8, he will win only nine tricks after repeated spade leads — and if he leads twice to the D Q-J (dubious on the auction), only eight.

What about 3 NT? With the incredibly friendly lie, even a spade lead cannot stop declarer from winning nine tricks if he plays for it: Lead a low heart to the 10 (assuming East ducks); finesse the C J; C K; then another low heart. Easy game, and your H A never takes a trick.

Board 36

On Board 17, I had East open 2 NT with 22 HCP (per my methods) so this time I’ll allow equal rights to the 20-21 group. To wit:

West DealsS A 7 2WestNorthEastSouth
… 100
+300 99
… 99
+200 98
… 97
+100 92
… 88
-90 87
… 87
-110 86
-120 85
-130 84
… 84
-150 83
… 81
-180 79
… 77
-210 76
… 75
-600 65
-620 55
-630 33
… 11
-660 6
… 4
-690 3
… 2
-800 2
… 1
-1100 1
… 0
Both VulH J 6 5 4 3PassPass2 CPass
D K 92 DPass2 NTPass
C J 9 43 CPass3 DPass
S Q 8 6 3TableS K 10 93 NTPassPassPass
H Q 9 2H A K 7
D 10 8 6 5D A Q 3
C 10 2C A Q 8 3
S J 5 4
H 10 8
D J 7 4 2
3 NT EastC K 7 6 5

Two clubs is strong and artificial; 2 D is negative; and 2 NT shows better than a 2 NT opening. West then checks for a spade fit with Stayman.

South has a disgusting choice of leads. The H 10 seems the least of evils, which declarer wins in hand to lead the S K, ducked; then the S 10 is covered by the jack, queen and ace. North exits safely in hearts; the S 9 is unblocked; and dummy is entered with a heart to win the last spade, pitching a club. Declarer next wins two diamonds with the finesse and exits with a diamond to endplay South; 10 tricks. North cannot stop this; in fact, a club shift from J-9-x would be worse, allowing declarer to win 11 tricks.

The South hand brings to mind a frequently asked question, “What is the worst lead in bridge?” I don’t know, but I’ll offer this nomination: You hold S 6-5-4 H A-8-2 D J-7-4-2 C A-K-8, and your RHO opens a gambling 3 NT. How would you rate a diamond lead?

Statistical Analyses

The average high-card points and freakness* for these 36 deals (and all 648 deals since 1987) are shown below:

StatisticNorthSouthWestEastDeal
Average HCP (36)10.119.339.9410.6140.00
Avg Freakness (36)3.003.083.443.0612.58
Average HCP (648)9.969.859.9610.2440.00
Avg Freakness (648)2.973.123.082.8612.03

In the high-card department, East-West had the edge, not only this year but overall. Perhaps this might discredit the rumors that the cards always run North-South. The distribution was a bit wild this year, as each player’s hands exceeded the expected average freakness of 2.98 (rounded, not exact) — particularly West. Over 18 years, however, the average deal freakness of 12.03 is close to the theoretical expectation of 11.93.

*A measurement I invented to rank the 39 hand patterns on a linear scale. My formula counts 1 point for each card over four or under three in each suit, plus 1 extra point if the hand has any singleton (or 2 extra points if the hand has any void). Hence, 4-3-3-3 = 0; 4-4-3-2 = 1; 5-3-3-2 = 2; 4-4-4-1 = 3; 5-4-2-2 = 3; … ending with 13-0-0-0 = 20. The freakness of a deal (0-80) is the sum of the freaknesses of all four hands.

Analyses 8T65   MainTop   ACBL Instant Matchpoint Pairs

© 2004 Richard Pavlicek