Main   Exercise 4B29 by Richard Pavlicek  

What’s the Chance?

As declarer, answer each question about the spade suit in the contract shown.
Played cards, if any, are underlined. Assume adequate later entries.

1. 3 NT4 3
Table6
North leadsA K J 10

What is the chance (%) to win four tricks?

Will you win ace first?

2. 3 NTK 10 9
5Table
South leads4 3 2

What is the chance (%) to win one trick?

Will you finesse 10-9?

3. 3 NTJ 3
Table
N or S leadsA K 4 2

What is the chance (%) to win three tricks?

Which card do you lead?

4. 3 NT10 9
Table
N or S leadsA K 5 4 3 2

What is the chance (%) to win six tricks?

to win five tricks?

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5. 3 NTK 6
Table
N or S leadsA 5 4 3 2

What is the chance (%) to win four tricks?

at least three tricks?

6. 3 NTA Q 4 3 2
7Table
South leads5

What is the chance (%) to win three tricks?

at least two tricks?

7. 3 NTQ 3 2
Table
South leadsA 6 5 4

What is the chance (%) to win three tricks?

at least two tricks?

8. 3 NTQ 9 8 5 4
6Table
South leadsA 3 2

Will you finesse the nine if East drops the 10?

if East drops the jack?

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9. 4 S3 2
Table
North leadsA 9 8 7 6 5 4

What is the chance (%) to win six tricks?

at least five tricks?

10. 4 SK 10 8 7 6
Table
South leadsQ 5 4 3 2

What is the chance (%) to win four tricks?

Which card do you lead?

11. 4 SA 3 2
Table8
North leadsK 10 7 6 5 4

Will you finesse the 10 if West drops the jack?

if West drops the queen?

12. 4 SA 2
10Table5
North leadsK Q 9 8 4 3

Could West have 3 cards when the 10 drops?

Will you finesse the nine?

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© 1996 Richard Pavlicek